One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
I found this amazing piece of state propaganda that I simply have to share. It was brought as a follow-up to a story about Denmark sending a staff officer to the US Pacific Fleet as the small Nordic kingdom is being drawn into American aggression against China.
The first article mentioned a poll showing that a majority of the population is against taking part in anti-Chinese provocations. This "analysis" is intended to explain to the unwashed masses why it is a good thing.
Machine translation of article from DR (state media):
ANALYSIS: Denmark's First Step Over a Bottomless Chinese Abyss
This is why the Danish military is sending a staff officer to the U.S. Pacific Command in Hawaii.
[Image]
By Defense Correspondent Mads Korsager Nielsen, October 8, 2024
If Russia is a small ripple on the ocean, then China is a storm on the horizon.
That is the security policy analysis of the world, seen from Washington, USA.
Americans view China, and especially its actions in the Indo-Pacific region, as a much larger, long-term challenge to American interests and the rules-based world order than Russia currently poses.
This is the power struggle between major powers that the Danish staff officer in Hawaii will be reporting on to the Danish Defense Command on Holmens Kanal.
NATO, the military alliance, largely agrees.
After recent summits, the alliance's leaders have issued statements describing China's growing military power and ambitions as something that needs to be addressed.
To do this, the U.S. will need to fully mobilize its military reserves and move nearly all its assets to the Pacific region.
Read more...
[Image]
Europe Left to Defend Itself
This means that at some point, Europe can expect to be left more alone with Russia than it is now, as the U.S. still has a significant military presence on the continent.
Many believe that the slow pace of European military buildup is worrying for this exact reason.
Putin just has to wait patiently for the powerful U.S. to leave the scene. This will pull the rug out from under deterrence efforts, and once again, there will be room for balalaika.
That’s the analysis.
A Russian challenge, which in itself is a handful for Europe, but the abyss is even deeper than that.
'Quid Pro Quo'
The U.S. expects Denmark and other European countries to help with the Chinese challenge in the Pacific as well.
The idea is that the signal of a united Western world standing shoulder to shoulder and saying "this far and no further" is stronger than just another wagging finger from the U.S., which Russia, Iran, and North Korea already find quite lame.
The U.S. and NATO are, of course, Denmark's primary security guarantees. Two strong allies in a cold and turbulent schoolyard.
So Denmark naturally sends a staff officer to Honolulu if the U.S. wants it. Quid pro quo.
In the video below, Commander and Head of the Planning Department of the Defense Operations Staff Kristian Haumann explains the role of the staff officer in Hawaii.
[Video]
Denmark Still in the Parking Lot
In the long run, it's expected that the desk-bound soldier will be replaced by more combat-ready contributions, such as a frigate, aircraft, or even special operations forces.
This leaves Denmark in an incredibly difficult position. After decades of budget cuts, the rebuilding of the military is just beginning. But the nearly 200 billion extra kroner earmarked through 2032 is almost entirely spent.
And Denmark hasn’t made significant progress on what NATO expects it to be able to do in the Baltics, the Arctic, and the North Atlantic.
If it were a DIY project, Denmark wouldn’t have gotten further than the parking lot of the hardware store by now.
On top of that, Denmark is expected to contribute to deterrence in the Indo-Pacific in the future.
This is a theater where significant demands are placed on military equipment.
Many Danes are impressed by China's electric cars and gadgets. However, China is unlikely to be impressed by a Danish frigate that can’t shoot.
The same goes for the U.S., which expects its allies to be able to participate in so-called 'multi-domain operations.'
In short, this means that everything capable of shooting, crawling, and operating in cyberspace, space, land, sea, and air must be able to communicate and work together.
Obviously, this is incredibly expensive. It’s also clear that Denmark is not yet able to play that game.
The yanks know they need this if they're going to have a chance against China:
A tuknical?
i think hezbollah has the right idea with the golf carts, you get more mount options and you can carry like six people for an admittedly higher price point
but i guess if you really need the dump bed and are looking for a cost effective solution...
danish man with a balancing rod tentatively inching forward on a tightrope strung over a massive hole filled with chinese people