One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
- Show
feets have surrounded Florida and are expected to push inland.
Update: It goes without saying that people should leave Florida . But the state itself now supports it.
They are forecasting it to be a cat 4 at landfall now.
I've been watching news surrounding this hurricane all day and every single update has been "this is the worst case scenario and record-breaking"
https://archive.is/aISAy
WSJ - U.S. Wiretap Systems Targeted in China-Linked Hack
Fed/cop back doors got exploited by Chinese hackers
Leaving backdoors in software is akin to making a hole in a wall and covering it with wallpaper.
I like to say it's akin to leaving a set of keys for your front door of your house underneath a pot plant, as some people do so that they can let others access their home while they're away. All it takes for a thief to enter is to know where that set of keys are hidden, or to look under all of your pot plants.
In a story on the Ukraine - Russia front that was missed with everything going on in the Middle East, video has emerged of a Russian stealth 5th generation Su-57 fighter jet shooting down its own friendly partnered S-70 stealth drone at high altitude, after it lost control of the drone, to prevent technology from the drone falling into enemy hands. This occurred relatively deep inside Ukrainian territory, around the city of Kostiantynivka in the Donetsk Oblast. Videos emerged of some of the wreckage of the S-70 drone on the ground.
While it is obviously not good that Russia lost one of their handful of stealth partner drones, this incident reveals some key information and battlefield firsts. Russia, now with visual evidence, has become the first nation to deploy 5th generation stealth aircraft over highly contested enemy airspace. The stealth capabilities of the Su-57 are very real. It went undetected by Ukrainian air defence systems, including the US manufactured Patriot system, and the remaining Soviet/Russian S-300 systems Ukraine has, while over 20km inside Ukrainian airspace (when measured at the frontlines of the conflict, much further inside Ukraine if measured from 1991 borders) at high altitudes that these systems should have no issue covering. Western copium about the Su-57 not being a true 5th generation stealth aircraft, based off of images of outdated prototypes, has now been disproven by actual evidence.
This also really brings to the forefront two other realities: Ukraine's air defence is very degraded, and Russian commanders are confident that the Su-57s stealth capabilities are enough to carry out deep strikes without being detected with regards the current state of Ukrainian air defence. I have already talked about the stealth one two punch that the Su-57 offers with its stealth cruise missiles in the Kh-69 before, and how this enables Russia to effectively extend the range of these cruise missiles and strike deep inside Ukrainian territory. The most obvious example of this has been the strikes against energy infrastructure using the Kh-69 cruise missile.
Editing to say: Key takeaways from this? Ukraine should be very glad that Russia only have a handful of Su-57 aircraft and S-70 drones, if they had the same amount of these aircraft as the USA has F-22s, the aerial campaign against Ukraine would look very different. Secondly, Iran should be worried about their air defence capabilities against stealth aircraft. The backbone of Iran's air defence is the Russian S-300PMU2 system (NATO name: SA-20B), and locally produced variants of it. We already know that Israeli stealth aircraft in the US made F-35 can bypass the Syrian S-300PM (NATO name: SA-10B) air defence systems with some effort, but still with relative ease. With Iran currently having the most advanced S-300 systems, even more advanced than the S-300PMU (NATO name: SA-10C) systems Ukraine has, some might think that they would do better against stealth aircraft. But that is quite a gamble to take when a lot of the radar technology in the more advanced variant of the system Iran has is simply an evolution of older systems, systems which have now proven to be incapable of detecting both Russian and US made stealth aircraft. Iran ideally needs S-400 systems soon to adequately deter the stealth threat.
Jet nerds coping about the SU57 is so funny, "why doesn't Russia make one gazzilion of them it's a fake jet doesn't exist", like chill bro Russia doesn't need 1300 su57 and they just started making them
The US and Russia follow different philosophies for the respective development of F-35 and Su-57.
The F-35 was mostly built to make money, they have to start selling the products even when the product is not ready yet. Because the supply chain is spread across several investing countries, if the plane is stuck on a prototype mode for too long, then some factory in another country will not get their job order and the production of certain critical components will have to be placed on hold.
To ensure that profit can flow, they have to sell the planes first then fix later. This is why you get so many issues with the F-35s, because unlike the Cold War planes, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter project was commissioned at a time when the USSR was no longer a threat and after the 1991 Gulf War when the US crushed the Iraqi military, politicians no longer saw a need to fund more weapons projects. So for the military industrial complex to survive, the F-35 became a grift project that tied the government into a spiral of endless spending that would end up costing trillions.
On the other hand, only a handful of Su-57 prototypes were built and rigorously tested to work out the kinks and defects, and only then did the project enter serial production phase as more or less a complete product. This is both because Russia is a poor country that cannot afford to build too many prototypes at once, and also because it actually has to work in order to carry out its intended military purposes, so unlike the US, they cannot afford to waste money building military equipments that have fundamental defects (corruption not withstanding).
Ideally Russia should aim for parity with the US F-22 fleet regarding Su-57 final production numbers, about 180 aircraft. Such a number is probably not realistic though.
Anyway, Westen plane nerds coping about how the Su-57 isn't stealth based on photographs of outdated prototypes, would be like Russian plane nerds saying that the F-22 is not stealth based on photographs of YF-22 and YF-23 prototypes. The prototype is not the final production version. Does this mean that Russia is behind the USA on this technology, given that they were prototyping it while the USA has had it actively deployed for over a decade? Yes, but that's the reality given the collapse of the USSR. Only delusional fans of Soviet or Russian technology would deny that. Russia is recovering from that collapse. And as the conflict goes on, we are seeing more instances of Su-57s being deployed on combat missions, and it's being deployed in a much tougher combat environment than the F-22 ever has. All the F-22 has done has been to shoot down Chinese weather balloons and bomb Syria back when all Syria had was the S-200 air defence system.
Live stream announcement from Al-Quassam Brigades on YouTube, happening right now: https://www.youtube.com/live/B21OJIb66-U
EDIT: It repeats.
EDIT: Interesting. They call the Oct 7 action "preemptive". I can't recall exactly how this has been documented over the last year, but I suspect this means Hamas had good intel telling them that Israel's escalation of the genocide that's happening over the last year was going to happen anyway. We should perhaps work on analyzing this and making it clear where/if true. On some level we've, of course, known that Israel was just looking for an excuse to flatten Gaza. But solid evidence of that that we could shove in liberals' faces would be pretty cool. It undermines the "but, but, but was it WORTH IT?!" argument.
I think it's to do with the normalisation of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which were quite close to happening at the time of October 7. If such a thing had happened, the fate of the Palestinian people would essentially be sealed, similar to the fate of other colonised populations in the past. In that way you could say it was pre-emptive, to prevent such an act from occurring.
This is why I said last week that the Al-Aqsa Flood was already successful beyond what could have possibly been hoped for on Oct 6th. KSA was fully ready to recognize Israel, and now that possibility is gone for years at least. It’s a defensive victory for sure, but still a huge victory.
My initial interpretation is that any action against the genocidal occupier is preempting the slow death by starvation of the Palestinians
For sure. I just think it'd be interesting to learn if e.g. Israel already had solid plans and a timeline for bombing and invading Gaza, and it could be shown that the intense acceleration of genocidal violence over last year has not been "a consequence" of Oct 7 as many liberals (and even some leftists) claim.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
Israel must have gotten smoked really bad by that Iran strike to not do anything on Oct 7
We have visual evidence and conformation (in satellite imagery) of 33 direct hits on just one of the airbases Iran targeted. While unfortunately the attack didn't do much damage, and narrowly missed some F-35 hangars with only one or two direct hits on the hangars themselves, it's still quite telling that 33 re-entry vehicles (RV's) made it through without interception. And we still do not have satellite imagery of the other two airbases targeted, one of which we have video evidence of secondary explosions after the Iranian missile attack. Iran only launched 180 missiles of the thousands in its arsenal. In a prolonged conflict, there would be no way for Israel could keep up with trying to intercept continued volleys of Iranian missiles, they simply do not have enough interceptor missiles in Arrow 3 and Arrow 2.
We don't really know what got hit. Israel has a pretty tight military censor. As I mentioned in my post in last week's mega, it looks like Iran got some direct hits on the G550 hangars, which Israel uses for early warning missile detection and reconnaissance/targeting. The Israeli media has repeatedly been talking about the F-35s being fine, but no one has said boo about the G550s, or the Unit 8200 base or Mossad HQ, for that matter. If any of the G550s that are used for airborne early warning were damaged or destroyed, Israel's ability to detect an income missile barrage may already be damaged (more so than it already is), which makes another strike on Iran a more dangerous proposition.
Yeah we only really know what got hit at one of the three airbases, and 1 of 5 targets total, due to the censorship. But I think there is enough video evidence to state two things. Tel Nof, with all the secondary explosions on video, probably got it even harder than Nevatim, which is why we have no satellite imagery of Tel Nof, and that the attack on Mossad HQ was largely unsuccessful, probably due to two things: Iran not firing many missiles at it because it's in a civilian area, and Israel prioritising interceptions over Mossad HQ.
I wonder if Israel is trying to do the same thing to Iran that Iran did to Israel - forcing them to wait for the response and drain their resources by acting like it's imminent every night. I don't really think it'll have the same effect though because Iran is not under the same pressure that Israel is, so time is on Iran's side
Yeah, if Iran moves all their stuff to bunkers they aren't really harmed since they aren't under threat from anyone else (imminently, anyway). Israel has to worry about the four other countries they've bombed in the last week.
I suppose it makes it harder for Iran's nuclear program, but I really have no idea what to make of the progress on that.
DEATHTOISRAEL
EATHTOISRAELD
ATHTOISRAELDE
THTOISRAELDEA
HTOISRAELDEAT
TOISRAELDEATH
OISRAELDEATHT
ISRAELDEATHTO
SRAELDEATHTOI
RAELDEATHTOIS
AELDEATHTOISR
ELDEATHTOISRA
LDEATHTOISRAEYou can use this sentence to teach the Burrows–Wheeler transform
Mission failed, we'll get 'em next time
Lokomotiv faced off against SKA Saint Petersburg and lost 4-3 in overtime after a close run match. SKA took the lead in the first period and held it into the second, Lokomotiv managed to tie it up in the third but wasn't able to seal the deal in overtime.
Lokomotiv next plays Kunlun Red Star on Wednesday October 9th at 7:30pm Moscow Standard Time.
УРА ЛОКОМОТИВ Least genocidal state department ghoul
🚨 “Carpet bomb the Irish area and then drop napalm over it”
- @MattRJBrodsky, US foreign policy advisor
https://nitter.poast.org/StopArabHate/status/1843310944266621260#m
He advises the Iraqi Muslim GOP candidate challenging Ilhan Omar. I figured she was Chaldean but I looked it up, and it turns out she's Muslim.
EDIT: Personally, if I owned a small pleasure craft, I would not be threatening to bomb the Irish.
Show
I'm on a little posting hiatus now to slowly heal my brain and my heart, but I have to break that hiatus just to say that Dalia Al Aqidi is one of the worst neo-con freaks that Iraq has ever produced.
Oh she's gonna lose, Republicans are way too hateful to vote for a Muslim Iraqi woman.
Edit: I wanna know what
possessed her to run for the party that killed 1.5M of her people and displaced millions more.Edit2:
Show
Kais Saied wins Tunisian elections with 90.69% turnout was 27.7%
How Israel killed hundreds of its own people on 7 October
Excellent long-form analysis on this by Asa Winstanley.
The videos from the Apache helicopter incidents are very disturbing. In one case, a Hellfire missile strikes a car as about a dozen unarmed people are seen exiting the car. Mass Hannibal directive was in effect...
couldn't figure out how to make it nice enough for emoji, but anyways, behold:
Show
What do you want to call it? :meow-keffiyeh: ?
I can't do anything here but I'm making this an emoji on hextube as soon as you name it
Yeah, or :meow-resistance:. You can, i kinda dont like it, i couldn't figure out how to make a nice pattern on a cloth (so i fiddled with some asset in google images), and how to correctly avoid goggle-like framing on the eyes
They were projecting hurricane Milton to be a 3.....it is now a Cat 5.
Still projected to landfall as a cat 3 but who knows now.
Reading about all the people stranded in Carolina and how understaffed FEMA is, I should really make a 72 hour kit in case of an inevitable disaster in my area
It's at 911 mb and dropping 10Mbs an hour or so I've heard. This thing will be brutal and anyone that hasn't moved out yet please hurry.
This thing might be another Katrina
finally bringing high speed internet to rural customers in florida
I have an acquaintance in St. Pete and they seem prepared to lose it all, currently packing their most beloved belongings. Not sure if that is the rational response, although leaving florida is a good call regardless of this hurricane
idk, I certainly wouldn't trust the government not to completely fuck up the response again so I don't think it's irrational at all
yeah and they get trashed every time. last storm grazex st pete but the storm surge really fucks them up. this though will be a direct hit
Only upside here is that it might destroy MacDill Air Force Base (SOCOM HQ).
1 year ago, history began. The news mega probably didn't exist before then. Wild to remember those times
The History Expansion Packs dropped in April and now a week ago as Iran was obviously not responding to any prior events and was merely attacking for no reason because history wasn't there yet
the russia ukraine war popped into existence one year ago along with all other ongoing historical events and the news mega
seeded the clouds
