One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Rant
I fucking hate liberals. I thought writing out my comment would make me feel better but it did the opposite.
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I saw mention of David Simon on Bluesky and I wondered what he had to say about Gaza and genocide. I found a tweet that is quite something. I had to read it a few times because he obfuscates. I've always thought it's funny when something can be phrased simply but the person can't do that. To me it's a Freudian slip. They are so arrogant and obnoxious they convince themselves that confusing and muddled text makes their self-defined iron-clad case even stronger.
He refuses to mention any place or group by name. He avoids words like Gaza, Gazans, Israel, Israelis. I might be wrong but I don't think even the UN does that when taking about a specific location with a specific war and not some abstract, theoretical debate club bullshit. He claims what's happening in Gaza is not a genocide because there has been no intention by Israel to destroy or mass murder the populace.
Also - hypothetically - if somebody makes civilians suffer or targets them that guy is a war criminal. Obviously - that's kind of weird. Israel isn't just small bunch of guys in Gaza committing war crimes. In any case - he says they should be prosecuted fully. After that he pokes fun at people who in his opinion - intentionally or not - misuses the words genocide and war criminal.
He believes the silly people conflate horrific-but-oopsie mass death and suffering as genocide when he says that some undefined group might be war criminals.
If with intent, you attempt to mass murder a people by any means -- starvation included -- it is a genocide. But if the prosecution of a war results in human desperation without the intention of a belligerent to destroy or mass murder the populace, no. That said. If you are needlessly indifferent to the sufferings of civilians, or if you work to maximize or increase that suffering, or if you target civilians without regard for their status, I'd say you are a war criminal.
Few people are acknowledging that even war crimes, which should be prosecuted fully, are not genocides. They use the words interchangeably now as rhetoric.
https://xcancel.com/AoDespair/status/1827461170963656899#m
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Ninja edit
Despite myself I kept looking around at his tweets. He also praised Israel's pager terror attack. Because of course he did.
You can call it terror or you can it a war. But certainly, throwing rockets without regard to where they land is indiscriminate, as are, perhaps, many of the Israeli air sorties in reply. Civilians are at great risk. This business with the pagers, purchased for use by Hezbollah combatants and officials, is pretty damn discriminate as weapons systems go.
https://xcancel.com/AoDespair/status/1836783946178134277#m
these are indeed heady concepts david, with many balancing factors and tradeoffs. if only there were some objective measure we could use to compare this situation, like say number of civilians killed, number of hospitals/schools/pieces of civil infrastructure/places of worship destroyed, or number of journalists executed. if we had something like that we could begin to cut this gordian knot as posed by your incisive rhetoric, but alas
Some Donbass news.
Russian forces liberated the Donetsk People’s Republic town of Grodovka (northeast of Novogrodovka): https://sputnikglobe.com/20241007/russian-forces-take-control-over-dprs-grodovka-village---mod-1120458305.html
Russian marines liberated the Donetsk People’s Republic village of Zolotaya Niva (west of Ugledar): https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/niva.mp4?_=1
The war is going badly. It’s time to double down and keep doing the same failed thing that has brought us here but harder
'we must keep one by one-ing nato equipment to save ukraine. we have calculated that the optimal rate of equipment escalation is that of the 8 year rolling average production rate of US arms manufacturers. this complex alignment of military industrial strategy is a fortuitous coincidence'
Shout out to Mike's Weather Page on YouTube for those interested in digging deep into this and every other Florida storm. Think autistic train guy channel meets Florida Man sponsored by the biggest liquor store chain in the state.
I have proof that Putin was working with Hamas and personally responsible for October 7th
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Coincidence? I THINK NOT
My 40-something year old cousin is going in for emergency surgery in St. Petersburg tomorrow morning, and his wife has decided to bunker down with their two kids and my uncle despite being in a mandatory evacuation zone. I don't know his wife well enough to try and talk some sense into her about leaving my cousin in the hospital and booking it out of the Tampa area. Really kind of hoping this thing doesn't make landfall near them.
My wife is in a similar situation with her family. She has an uncle and cousins who are in Tampa and are not evacuating. They have the means to do so, they just.... aren't.
It's wild
Edit: I also know it's easy to fall into blaming people for not leaving when they don't have the money or ability to do so, but to the best of my knowledge that isn't the case here. They are very securely upper middle class and recently moved to Florida. I think they just don't understand the severity of it? Maybe I'm mistaken though. Idk. I hope somebody can get through with your family and they can be safe!!
The current track is smack dab in the middle of Tampa Bay, right over the top of them. Basically, any way it could go, that place is getting hit with part of it.
Sorry, to clarify, I meant the eyewall. I am hoping the eyewall makes landfall further south.
aren't they predicting 10-15' storm surge for Tampa, a city where 50% of the population lives <10' above sea level...?!?
do you have any older relatives that might be closer to them that would be better received as a Voice of Reason?
They are on the currently edge of the mandatory evac zone. I checked GIS map after getting off the phone with my mom, and it looks like there house is ~20ft about sea level according to this map. My mom is apparently going to talk to my aunt, who is closer with my uncle that she is (this is my mother's brother-in-law, her sister is dead) to see if she can convince my uncle to talk her into leaving. I know my cousin's wife since I am godfather to one of their kids, although not super well, but she is pretty stubborn/tough. That's come in well in the past because their other kid has a serious illness and my cousin is bipolar, but this is also the downside of being stubborn. I am thinking about texting her asking if she has an axe or hatchet to be able to break through the roof if necessary, if the water gets too high.
that sounds incredibly stressful and scary
personally don't think your axe/hatchet text would be out of line and would be asking those questions myself, might be good to remind her what she's going to need if it comes down to the worst
- Show
feets have surrounded Florida and are expected to push inland.
Update: It goes without saying that people should leave Florida . But the state itself now supports it.
I thought it was in Israel
Seriously the CENTCOM chief visits Israel every month.
Published today, but pretty sure he arrived on the 5th/6th
And it just goes back and back, at least once a month.
I've been watching news surrounding this hurricane all day and every single update has been "this is the worst case scenario and record-breaking"
Central pressure supposedly below 900mb now. Record was Wilma 2005 at 882mb
nearing mathematical limit of what the earth can produce
Americans are calling this a government ployI swear to god these people would rather die than acknowledge climate change can affect them too
You know they think climate change is something that only affects the third world, if they even acknowledge climate change is real.
All the idiots in the comments saying that the government created the hurricane because they don't understand or can't accept the concept of climate change... Just wow. Weaponised stupidity.
The American people are not intellectual to put it mildly. Half of this shithole unironically believe Covid is a Chinese bioweapon that is also fake.
They will never admit we were right.
It doesn't matter if it literally kills them, they will sink beneath the waves blaming us.
fucking facebook man my mom just asked me about cloud seeding on the phone earlier, had to shut that shit down immediately lol luckily she values my input on such things a lot
These misinformation machines with Zuck and Musk at the helm, it's nightmarish.
certain billionaires will not get the chance at rehabilitation and those 2 are perfect examples of the type that will become well acquainted with
https://archive.is/aISAy
WSJ - U.S. Wiretap Systems Targeted in China-Linked Hack
Fed/cop back doors got exploited by Chinese hackers
Leaving backdoors in software is akin to making a hole in a wall and covering it with wallpaper.
I like to say it's akin to leaving a set of keys for your front door of your house underneath a pot plant, as some people do so that they can let others access their home while they're away. All it takes for a thief to enter is to know where that set of keys are hidden, or to look under all of your pot plants.
In a story on the Ukraine - Russia front that was missed with everything going on in the Middle East, video has emerged of a Russian stealth 5th generation Su-57 fighter jet shooting down its own friendly partnered S-70 stealth drone at high altitude, after it lost control of the drone, to prevent technology from the drone falling into enemy hands. This occurred relatively deep inside Ukrainian territory, around the city of Kostiantynivka in the Donetsk Oblast. Videos emerged of some of the wreckage of the S-70 drone on the ground.
While it is obviously not good that Russia lost one of their handful of stealth partner drones, this incident reveals some key information and battlefield firsts. Russia, now with visual evidence, has become the first nation to deploy 5th generation stealth aircraft over highly contested enemy airspace. The stealth capabilities of the Su-57 are very real. It went undetected by Ukrainian air defence systems, including the US manufactured Patriot system, and the remaining Soviet/Russian S-300 systems Ukraine has, while over 20km inside Ukrainian airspace (when measured at the frontlines of the conflict, much further inside Ukraine if measured from 1991 borders) at high altitudes that these systems should have no issue covering. Western copium about the Su-57 not being a true 5th generation stealth aircraft, based off of images of outdated prototypes, has now been disproven by actual evidence.
This also really brings to the forefront two other realities: Ukraine's air defence is very degraded, and Russian commanders are confident that the Su-57s stealth capabilities are enough to carry out deep strikes without being detected with regards the current state of Ukrainian air defence. I have already talked about the stealth one two punch that the Su-57 offers with its stealth cruise missiles in the Kh-69 before, and how this enables Russia to effectively extend the range of these cruise missiles and strike deep inside Ukrainian territory. The most obvious example of this has been the strikes against energy infrastructure using the Kh-69 cruise missile.
Editing to say: Key takeaways from this? Ukraine should be very glad that Russia only have a handful of Su-57 aircraft and S-70 drones, if they had the same amount of these aircraft as the USA has F-22s, the aerial campaign against Ukraine would look very different. Secondly, Iran should be worried about their air defence capabilities against stealth aircraft. The backbone of Iran's air defence is the Russian S-300PMU2 system (NATO name: SA-20B), and locally produced variants of it. We already know that Israeli stealth aircraft in the US made F-35 can bypass the Syrian S-300PM (NATO name: SA-10B) air defence systems with some effort, but still with relative ease. With Iran currently having the most advanced S-300 systems, even more advanced than the S-300PMU (NATO name: SA-10C) systems Ukraine has, some might think that they would do better against stealth aircraft. But that is quite a gamble to take when a lot of the radar technology in the more advanced variant of the system Iran has is simply an evolution of older systems, systems which have now proven to be incapable of detecting both Russian and US made stealth aircraft. Iran ideally needs S-400 systems soon to adequately deter the stealth threat.
Jet nerds coping about the SU57 is so funny, "why doesn't Russia make one gazzilion of them it's a fake jet doesn't exist", like chill bro Russia doesn't need 1300 su57 and they just started making them
The US and Russia follow different philosophies for the respective development of F-35 and Su-57.
The F-35 was mostly built to make money, they have to start selling the products even when the product is not ready yet. Because the supply chain is spread across several investing countries, if the plane is stuck on a prototype mode for too long, then some factory in another country will not get their job order and the production of certain critical components will have to be placed on hold.
To ensure that profit can flow, they have to sell the planes first then fix later. This is why you get so many issues with the F-35s, because unlike the Cold War planes, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter project was commissioned at a time when the USSR was no longer a threat and after the 1991 Gulf War when the US crushed the Iraqi military, politicians no longer saw a need to fund more weapons projects. So for the military industrial complex to survive, the F-35 became a grift project that tied the government into a spiral of endless spending that would end up costing trillions.
On the other hand, only a handful of Su-57 prototypes were built and rigorously tested to work out the kinks and defects, and only then did the project enter serial production phase as more or less a complete product. This is both because Russia is a poor country that cannot afford to build too many prototypes at once, and also because it actually has to work in order to carry out its intended military purposes, so unlike the US, they cannot afford to waste money building military equipments that have fundamental defects (corruption not withstanding).
Ideally Russia should aim for parity with the US F-22 fleet regarding Su-57 final production numbers, about 180 aircraft. Such a number is probably not realistic though.
Anyway, Westen plane nerds coping about how the Su-57 isn't stealth based on photographs of outdated prototypes, would be like Russian plane nerds saying that the F-22 is not stealth based on photographs of YF-22 and YF-23 prototypes. The prototype is not the final production version. Does this mean that Russia is behind the USA on this technology, given that they were prototyping it while the USA has had it actively deployed for over a decade? Yes, but that's the reality given the collapse of the USSR. Only delusional fans of Soviet or Russian technology would deny that. Russia is recovering from that collapse. And as the conflict goes on, we are seeing more instances of Su-57s being deployed on combat missions, and it's being deployed in a much tougher combat environment than the F-22 ever has. All the F-22 has done has been to shoot down Chinese weather balloons and bomb Syria back when all Syria had was the S-200 air defence system.
Live stream announcement from Al-Quassam Brigades on YouTube, happening right now: https://www.youtube.com/live/B21OJIb66-U
EDIT: It repeats.
EDIT: Interesting. They call the Oct 7 action "preemptive". I can't recall exactly how this has been documented over the last year, but I suspect this means Hamas had good intel telling them that Israel's escalation of the genocide that's happening over the last year was going to happen anyway. We should perhaps work on analyzing this and making it clear where/if true. On some level we've, of course, known that Israel was just looking for an excuse to flatten Gaza. But solid evidence of that that we could shove in liberals' faces would be pretty cool. It undermines the "but, but, but was it WORTH IT?!" argument.
EDIT: LOL. I posted and stickied this in /r/BreadTube. Then I cross-posted it to /r/Palestine, who removed it, citing "Reddit's Content Policy, Reddiquette, and Moderator Code of Conduct". Sorry, but: fucking cowards! (They also removed a video of a rally by Jill Stein, Worker's Strike Back, and Abandon Harris about opposing electoral support for genocide, but w/e.)
I think it's to do with the normalisation of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which were quite close to happening at the time of October 7. If such a thing had happened, the fate of the Palestinian people would essentially be sealed, similar to the fate of other colonised populations in the past. In that way you could say it was pre-emptive, to prevent such an act from occurring.
This is why I said last week that the Al-Aqsa Flood was already successful beyond what could have possibly been hoped for on Oct 6th. KSA was fully ready to recognize Israel, and now that possibility is gone for years at least. It’s a defensive victory for sure, but still a huge victory.
My initial interpretation is that any action against the genocidal occupier is preempting the slow death by starvation of the Palestinians
For sure. I just think it'd be interesting to learn if e.g. Israel already had solid plans and a timeline for bombing and invading Gaza, and it could be shown that the intense acceleration of genocidal violence over last year has not been "a consequence" of Oct 7 as many liberals (and even some leftists) claim.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
Israel must have gotten smoked really bad by that Iran strike to not do anything on Oct 7
RWN ep had this guy Landis on and he said that Iran utterly failed in its attack lol
I thought that ep was mixed, despite how positive ppl here seemed. Going back to that show has reminded me of the visible limits of their expertise
I had to pause that episode a few times out of irritation that there was no attempt to push back or question his dumbass assertions. IOF says they did no damage so Iran failed, okay buddy
We have visual evidence and conformation (in satellite imagery) of 33 direct hits on just one of the airbases Iran targeted. While unfortunately the attack didn't do much damage, and narrowly missed some F-35 hangars with only one or two direct hits on the hangars themselves, it's still quite telling that 33 re-entry vehicles (RV's) made it through without interception. And we still do not have satellite imagery of the other two airbases targeted, one of which we have video evidence of secondary explosions after the Iranian missile attack. Iran only launched 180 missiles of the thousands in its arsenal. In a prolonged conflict, there would be no way for Israel could keep up with trying to intercept continued volleys of Iranian missiles, they simply do not have enough interceptor missiles in Arrow 3 and Arrow 2.
We don't really know what got hit. Israel has a pretty tight military censor. As I mentioned in my post in last week's mega, it looks like Iran got some direct hits on the G550 hangars, which Israel uses for early warning missile detection and reconnaissance/targeting. The Israeli media has repeatedly been talking about the F-35s being fine, but no one has said boo about the G550s, or the Unit 8200 base or Mossad HQ, for that matter. If any of the G550s that are used for airborne early warning were damaged or destroyed, Israel's ability to detect an income missile barrage may already be damaged (more so than it already is), which makes another strike on Iran a more dangerous proposition.
Yeah we only really know what got hit at one of the three airbases, and 1 of 5 targets total, due to the censorship. But I think there is enough video evidence to state two things. Tel Nof, with all the secondary explosions on video, probably got it even harder than Nevatim, which is why we have no satellite imagery of Tel Nof, and that the attack on Mossad HQ was largely unsuccessful, probably due to two things: Iran not firing many missiles at it because it's in a civilian area, and Israel prioritising interceptions over Mossad HQ.
I wonder if Israel is trying to do the same thing to Iran that Iran did to Israel - forcing them to wait for the response and drain their resources by acting like it's imminent every night. I don't really think it'll have the same effect though because Iran is not under the same pressure that Israel is, so time is on Iran's side
Yeah, if Iran moves all their stuff to bunkers they aren't really harmed since they aren't under threat from anyone else (imminently, anyway). Israel has to worry about the four other countries they've bombed in the last week.
I suppose it makes it harder for Iran's nuclear program, but I really have no idea what to make of the progress on that.
DEATHTOISRAEL
EATHTOISRAELD
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THTOISRAELDEA
HTOISRAELDEAT
TOISRAELDEATH
OISRAELDEATHT
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SRAELDEATHTOI
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LDEATHTOISRAEYou can use this sentence to teach the Burrows–Wheeler transform
Least genocidal state department ghoul
🚨 “Carpet bomb the Irish area and then drop napalm over it”
- @MattRJBrodsky, US foreign policy advisor
https://nitter.poast.org/StopArabHate/status/1843310944266621260#m
He advises the Iraqi Muslim GOP candidate challenging Ilhan Omar. I figured she was Chaldean but I looked it up, and it turns out she's Muslim.
EDIT: Personally, if I owned a small pleasure craft, I would not be threatening to bomb the Irish.
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I'm on a little posting hiatus now to slowly heal my brain and my heart, but I have to break that hiatus just to say that Dalia Al Aqidi is one of the worst neo-con freaks that Iraq has ever produced.
Oh she's gonna lose, Republicans are way too hateful to vote for a Muslim Iraqi woman.
Edit: I wanna know what
possessed her to run for the party that killed 1.5M of her people and displaced millions more.Edit2:
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Mission failed, we'll get 'em next time
Lokomotiv faced off against SKA Saint Petersburg and lost 4-3 in overtime after a close run match. SKA took the lead in the first period and held it into the second, Lokomotiv managed to tie it up in the third but wasn't able to seal the deal in overtime.
Lokomotiv next plays Kunlun Red Star on Wednesday October 9th at 7:30pm Moscow Standard Time.
УРА ЛОКОМОТИВ
is literally the cover image oh god
