No update today or tomorrow.
Links and Stuff
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map, who is an independent youtuber with a mostly neutral viewpoint.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict and, unlike most western analysts, has some degree of understanding on how war works. He is a reactionary, however.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Yesterday's discussion post.
Makes sense, Russia is already occupying most of it. I wonder once Phase 2 is done and the entire Donbass is under DPR/LPR control, then whether a hypothetical Phase 3 will begin which will finish off Zaporozhie and perhaps Mykolaiv and Odessa?
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Are you surprised? Putin already warn Kiev government about losing more territory from the first negotiations? It’s the US and UK keep pumping in money, make surprise visit tell Elensky to continue this charade to last Ukrainian.
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We all wish that comrade, but in the end, fist speak louder than word, unfortunately.
Yeah, I was originally thinking about 6 months or so (so, 3-4 more months) to get the entire Donbass, though I've seen some ideas floated around that once Russia gets a few breakthroughs in the front, and Ukraine is sufficiently weakened, then they can start rolling up Ukraine's forces all the way to the Dniper river. So that would presumably shorten the operation and that we're just in the slow phase before the pressure is too much and it all crumples at "once" (still weeks to months).
But if Russia decides to take more, I could see this taking a year or longer. Especially depending on how much weaponry Ukraine is stockpiling in their cities and fortifications away from the front (more safe), versus taking it to the front (less safe). Of course, all the weaponry in the world won't help you without enough men to use it.
Yeah. Though speculating on alternative realities is basically non-falsifiable whatever you predict so, for me at least, it's only interesting as a theoretical exercise, not to pass judgement on what you think Ukraine and Russia would have done in a parallel universe. Though I'm very confident in saying that the wrong side won the Cold War if you care about things like the betterment and stability of humanity.
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I give literally 0 shits about fascist NATO Ukraine losing Russian speaking territory to Russia.
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Odessa and Nykolaev is also in phase 2, tbf