Apparently there are now discussions over whether to send the F-16 as well as tanks!

This sounds like an even worse idea to me, and it probably isn't going to happen for a while even if they agree to send them, but regardless - the war has reached the point where such discussions are seriously occurring.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.

January 30th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

January 31st's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

February 1st's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

February 3rd's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

Sorry, no update today, Xi Jinping has put me inside this giant balloon. Apparently we're testing a new kind of mass surveillance + mind control technology to turn everybody into communists? Not sure where I am right now but I heard aircraft going by yesterday. I'll be back on solid ground by Monday.

Links and Stuff

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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can, thank you.


Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)

Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are fairly brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. The Duran, of which he co-hosts, is where the chuddery really begins to spill out.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.

https://t.me/asbmil ~ Now rebranded as Battlefield Insights, they do infrequent posts on the conflict.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of the really big pro-Russian (except when they're being pessismistic, which is often) telegram channels focussing on the war. Russian language.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Any Western media outlet that is even vaguely liberal (and quite a few conservative ones too).

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • CoralMarks [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    China’s suspected spy balloon prompts Blinken to postpone Beijing trip as Congress seeks answers Source

    They're really milking this balloon thing, huh

          • Goblinmancer [any]
            ·
            2 years ago

            I really hope I will live until the CIA dissolves/collapse/their master USA collapse because they are legit the most evil organization in history. Might be my bias but fuck them for ruining my nation Indonesia by helping Suharto kill 1 million people.

            • DoubleShot [he/him]
              ·
              2 years ago

              Every single person who has ever worked in an operational role in the CIA should be tried as a war criminal.

              And I'm saying this as an American, a complete collapse of US government is a mercy compared to what this country actually deserves.

              :amerikkka:

          • RikerDaxism [it/its]
            ·
            edit-2
            2 years ago

            The military also probably wants to dunk on China but unlike the deep state they've actually analyzed the likely turn of military events

          • Awoo [she/her]
            ·
            2 years ago

            In fact the Military Leadership seems to be the only ones being honest about the strategic position of the United States. The Intelligence Agencies and the Political Class think we run the world.

            Here's hoping that this actually results in something when a big moment happens.

          • WashedAnus [he/him]
            ·
            2 years ago

            There are factions of the defense War Department that know the actual state of the the US war machine, they're just the nerds that no one listens to.

            In any conflict between the US and China that doesn't go nuclear, the absolute best case scenario for the US is that they contain China within the South China Sea. None of China's neighbors would allow the US to stage forces in their country for an invasion (DPRK, Mongolia, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam). The Philippines would probably let the US stage forces there, but they would just stay there because any landing craft would be sunk before it reached the mainland. Any losses of major equipment (ships and bombers) would not be replaced before the end of the war due to the US's complete lack of industry. The entire US Military Industrial Complex exists to extract the maximum amount of profit from tax dollars, and at that it's extremely innovative.

        • Fishroot [none/use name]
          ·
          2 years ago

          The 2025 thing is older than this, I remember Carl Zha talking about that since like 2020

        • Frogmanfromlake [none/use name]
          ·
          2 years ago

          I think that's more hopeful war hawking than anything realistically happening. Americans love to pound their chest but don't often directly engage with countries that are similar in size with power.

    • PosadistInevitablity [he/him]
      ·
      2 years ago

      I’ve said it before and will say it again: this behavior is why Russia literally could do nothing to avoid a war.

      If the US can sell this story, how hard would it be to say Russia launched a first strike and thus Ukraine is just fighting back?

      Russia just decided to strike first, it was obvious to them they were soon to be attacked.

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      2 years ago

      If this isn't the stupidest thing to happen in 2023 - and it's only February - then we've got one hell of a year ahead of us.

      My god, just use it to declare war on China already, we know what you're trying to do. If Biden was stung by a bee during a speech you'd claim it was a microdrone sent by the China communists to assassinate US officials.

    • Fishroot [none/use name]
      ·
      2 years ago

      I make better excuses than this to cancel plans with my friends on the weekend

    • RonJonGuaido [none/use name]
      ·
      2 years ago

      CIA spooked and doing everything possible to cover up the fact that Balloon Boy is back on the loose.