I just read that over 160.000 Ukranian men have died in the war and over 400.000 have been wounded, the rest of the population is scattered around Europe, and the population still living in the country will have to deal with the destruction of builidings and civilian infrastructure. Ukraine was already in debt before the war and now It's gonna be a way worse problem.

Even if Ukraine manages to get a "victory" over Russia, how is it gonna rebuild the country without money and without people, because I honestly don't think that many Ukranian refugees will come back home after the war.

    • Gosplan14_the_Third [none/use name]
      ·
      1 year ago

      Poland is gonna annex Lwów and Kresy any day now to reestablish intermarum. :so-true:

      Annoyed assholish remarks aside, probably half or so of Ukrainians in Poland won't ever return considering it'll be the poorest country in Europe with a wrecked infrastructure and possibly PTSD-inducing for many. There'll be a constant racial tension between xenophobic Poles and the new Ukrainian minority, Turks in Germany style.

      A push for annexation of pre-1939 Polish territory is a very fringe position even among the far-right, but "these areas are part of our heritage and homeland, so Polish culture should be preserved there" is less unpopular.

      Meaning there'll probably be some fascist settlers buying land and vacant homes in the area. However, due to a low quality of life, and the very strong local presence of a far-right that emphasizes a personality cult of a leader that partook in a Genocide of Polish people, I don't think there'll be that many people going there with polish flags in hand.

      I am not aware of any such things happening in Eastern Lithuania either, despite that also being an area associated with pre-war Polish nationalism. (Piłsudski had the area annexed militarily between 1920 and 1922 after all)

      What's most likely to happen is that Ukraine becomes a miserable piece of hell on earth with a majoritarian hegemony for Ultra nationalist political forces like post-war Bosnia and Hercegovina. 40% unemployment, poverty like in your average Central African country, 80+% of the youth wanting to leave at the soonest occasion and a deep political apathy with election turnouts of 25%

      • SoyViking [he/him]
        ·
        1 year ago

        Yeah, I don't buy the Polish annexation story either. The main ideological justification for western involvement in the war has been the sanctity of Ukrainian sovereignty all along. Suddenly dissolving the Ukraine would not make sense. And besides that you don't need to rule an area formally to exploit it or put military bases there, in fact having a local puppet government makes it easier to get plausible deniability for the shit you're doing.