Image is from this SCMP article.
Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.
Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.
While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.
Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
til american procurement really is ass and a single iranian salvo will take out an entire years worth of sm6s lol
edit: this might actually be the wrong link but the point is that theyve been making just 125 of their workhorse antiair missiles per year since 2023...
There are ~800 THAAD missiles in existence total, of which ~100 belong to the UAE and not the US, and Lockheed Martin has the capability to make 8 per month. After delivery of an 8th battery to the US sometime in the next couple of months, the next 2-3 years of production is supposed to be going towards the batteries Saudi Arabia ordered.
Antiair defences are the single biggest materiel bottleneck for both the west and Russia.
Yeah, they are complicated and expensive to make. I know that they are working on lasers (Israel is talking about launching the "Iron Beam" next year I think, and the US has its own project), but I'm skeptical about the efficacy of those. My crystal ball take is that we are probably going to see a resurgence in anti-aircraft autocannons and gatling guns for missile defense given that they would also have the ability to deal with drones.
A long time ago in college physics we learned the U.S. military had tried and given up on using lasers (for anything, really, but especially anti-missile shit), because it is so cheap and easy to just make things reflective and bounce that shit off. Doubt that one's making a serious comeback.
And it's not like you even need extra material to do so either, all it takes is some sandpaper and cloth
Iron Beam is for close defence of rockets and drones, in a similar role to Iron Dome. Iron Beam, just like Iron Dome, is not meant to deal with ballistic missiles and doesn't have the capability to do so. Israel use Arrow 3, Arrow 2 and David's Sling for that. Laser weapons aren't there yet for anti ballistic capabilities.
Iron beam is a silly name. For proper structural support they should use... idk, look up your country's steel standards, I ran out of juice for this joke
ROCKET FUEL CANT MELT IRON BEAMS
Iron Dome kind of works as a name of a nazi air defense system but iron beam just sounds like somebody is doing structural engineering and lacks the menacing vibes.
I declare these names "ironic"
And Iran most likely, they only have a couple of S300PMU-2 batteries. If those are taken out of action, the quality of their integrated air defence system is likely degraded as those are their most capable systems.
if this was Hearts of Iron 4 the U.S. would just have one of those little green factories on each production line