I'm worried the recent drop in COVID19 cases this last week is an artifact of the holiday and people not wanting to risk knowing about their COVID19, and the next few weeks in going to be a blood bath as all the people that already have it finally get tested this week, plus all the people they gave it to. Plus, the percent of false negatives is comically high, to the point of almost being useless.
yeah, a "real" drop in cases would also mean a drop in the net positive rate of test. it might be real, actually, looking at North Dakota , but even if the number of cases has gone down, it doesn't change the good chances of a massive spike in the next couple of weeks from the holiday break / travel
I'm worried the recent drop in COVID19 cases this last week is an artifact of the holiday and people not wanting to risk knowing about their COVID19, and the next few weeks in going to be a blood bath as all the people that already have it finally get tested this week, plus all the people they gave it to. Plus, the percent of false negatives is comically high, to the point of almost being useless.
the dip in number of tests supports your theory
yeah, a "real" drop in cases would also mean a drop in the net positive rate of test. it might be real, actually, looking at North Dakota , but even if the number of cases has gone down, it doesn't change the good chances of a massive spike in the next couple of weeks from the holiday break / travel
In america there are only two situations in which people get covid tests:
So yeah, you’d expect a drop in testing over holidays.
Seems like loads of people use tests as an out.
Even if the test is right you could catch it at the store 15 minutes later.