1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

  • Utter_Karate [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    1 year ago

    I don't think they're too worried about international support, since the "international community" will continue to support them through even a hot genocide if they leave enough wiggle room for media to claim it is actually the fault of Hamas, and western media can as we know make do with very, very little wiggle room there. Internal support is a huge risk though. There doesn't need to be a huge upset or anything. Even pretty minor things not going exactly according to plan will leave them utterly fucked.