1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

  • BabaIsPissed [he/him]
    ·
    9 months ago

    I don't know shit but from casually checking the news mega that seems to be the general sentiment. What I don't get is wouldn't this ground invasion be a completely unforced error on Israel's part? Why are they even considering it?

    • halfpipe [they/them]
      ·
      9 months ago

      Netanyahu's entire network of graft and political control is now more unstable than a house of cards, and the only thing that could possibly prop it back it up is a military victory over Hamas.

      Bombing refugee columns isn't enough, they need boots on the ground.

    • D61 [any]
      ·
      9 months ago

      I'd say the right wing government needs, NEEDS, to play the "military strong man" role.

      • Frank [he/him, he/him]
        ·
        9 months ago

        Yeah. Fascism is in effect. They're not necessarily making rational decisions and can't necessarily assess the strengths and weaknesses of the enemy. The rhetoric is gneocide - At least some Israelis in high places want to exterminate the Palestinians or drive them out of Gaza entirely. Plus, as others have mentioned, Bibi fucked up and might launch an invasion for political reasons.

      • SoyViking [he/him]
        ·
        9 months ago

        Zionists are fascists and fascists care very little for human life, even that of their fellow fascists.

        • tocopherol@lemmy.dbzer0.com
          ·
          9 months ago

          Zionists have already said about hostages being killed: "You trust Hamas that they weren't already killed? They were dead as soon as they were captured." So I would guess that any captives in Palestine do not have a good chance of being returned.