Image is here.


One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • miz [any, any]
    ·
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    'Prepare for post-Hezbollah phase' US envoy tells Lebanon as Israeli massacres intensify | The Cradle

    US Ambassador to Lebanon Lisa Johnson has asked political forces in the country to “prepare for the post-Hezbollah phase, where its control over the state and its institutions and the state’s border crossings is no longer permitted.” Al-Akhbar reported on 11 October.

    She reiterated that “Hezbollah has become very weak after the strikes that were directed at it, targeting its leaders and killing its Secretary-General, and therefore, it can no longer impose what it wants, and there is a new political phase that the country will witness soon in which the party has no place.”

    delusional. they are still sticking to this deranged fantasy that killing Nasrallah (and 600 bystanders) somehow made Hezbollah a fraction of its former self. hard to believe this is purely cynical, feels like it could be that syndrome where the failsons running the show have fallen for all the previous generation's propaganda

    • jack [he/him, comrade/them]
      ·
      3 months ago

      the failsons running the show have fallen for all the previous generation's propaganda

      This describes the entire imperial elite of this century

      • Florn [they/them]
        ·
        3 months ago

        Reagan was a bullet through the brain of the political class, it just took people a while to notice the smell

              • GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]
                ·
                edit-2
                3 months ago

                Following the assassination of Gemayel in September 1982, Israel's position in Beirut became untenable and the signing of a peace treaty became increasingly unlikely. There was outrage at the IDF's role in the Phalangist-perpetrated Sabra and Shatila massacre of Palestinians and Lebanese Shias. This stoked Israeli public disillusionment with the war. The IDF withdrew from Beirut and ended its operation on 29 September 1982.[33] The May 17 Agreement of 1983 ended the state of war between Israel and Lebanon, and provided for an Israeli withdrawal from the country. Amid rising casualties from guerrilla attacks, the IDF retreated south of the Awali river on 3 September 1983.[34]

                From February to April 1985, the Israeli military undertook a phased withdrawal to its "South Lebanon security zone" along the border. The Israeli occupation saw the emergence of Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed Shia Islamist group.[35] It waged a guerrilla war against the Israeli occupation until the IDF's final withdrawal from Lebanon in 2000.[36] In Israel, the 1982 invasion is also known as the First Lebanon War.[ii]

                https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1982_Lebanon_War

                The famous phone call between Reagan and happened in 1982.

                https://www.nytimes.com/1982/08/13/world/reagan-demands-end-to-attacks-in-a-blunt-telephone-call-to-begin.html

                ^ Original press release of the call by nyt.

                Reagan got them to stop bombing Beirut temporarily, but the occupation was ended by guerilla forces and mounting public disillusionment regarding the direction of the war.

      • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
        hexagon
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        it's like in Ukraine when the Russian army had been totally destroyed for the fourteen time in the war after 100,000 soldiers were killed in a human wave attack because Putin is both evil and stupid, and so the only conceivable explanations as to why Ukraine had not fully taken back its territory is either a) Russian ghosts fighting back, or b) Ukraine was firing on its own troops whenever they tried to advance

        like, the West just kept asserting that Russia had run out of missiles and even though they were repeatedly wrong, they didn't really have anything else to do other than keep repeating it in the hopes that it maybe it would come true. perhaps a Russian weapons manufacturer would see the headlines and go "damn, really? alright, I won't check the latest figures from my factory, I'm just gonna turn this place into a bakery."

        • VILenin [he/him]
          ·
          3 months ago

          Evil Putler reversed the polarity in Ukraine so the helpless Ukrainians got confused about the direction and started advancing the wrong way, so it’s actually a demonstration of plucky Ukrainian military prowess!

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      this is literally TikTok manifestation but for geopolitics. if we keep saying that something is true, it has to become true, even as we feed the next wave of Israeli soldiers in to take selfies 500 feet away from a border village and get obliterated by Hezbollah rockets. it's always worked for us before, why wouldn't it work now?

      trying to manufacture alternative realities only really works if you have a decent chance of, y'know, winning, and therefore stand a chance in the future of creating those alternative realities that you've been establishing via propaganda. there is nothing that Israel could do short of carpet bombing southern Lebanon with nukes that would meaningfully degrade Hezbollah. it is simply too deeply embedded, both literally (miles of tunnels underground), socially, economically, and politically. taking out Nasrallah and the subsequent bombings since then have taken Hezbollah from 100% strength to like, 99.5% strength. Hamas is still very much intact and still killing Zionists after a year of war and they are almost entirely shut off from the world; Hezbollah can keep going as long as there's a border to smuggle goods across, and it is impossible for Israel to totally occupy Lebanon. they can barely occupy a small village.

      this leads me to believe that the Israeli strategy will be to eventually withdraw and stop trying after taking colossal losses, then in the classic Israeli fashion, declare victory and say that Hezbollah has been destroyed, but I'm unsure what the point of that will be when the missiles keep firing over the border and settlers are still unable to return to the north because Hezbollah will still be 95% intact.

      • miz [any, any]
        ·
        3 months ago

        here let me try it think-mark

        'Prepare for post-capitalism phase' Chinese envoy tells California as second American civil war intensifies

      • miz [any, any]
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        this must be similar to what it felt like during anti-Vietnam-War activism when the government would keep reporting kill counts as if they indicated progress

      • GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        Israeli strategy will be to eventually withdraw and stop trying after taking colossal losses, then in the classic Israeli fashion, declare victory and say that Hezbollah has been destroyed

        This is USian strategy ala Vietnam. Israeli military strategy will follow course of apartheid South Africa military strategy.

        That is, declare war on everyone around them and eventually succumb to guerillas from neighbors and to the economic blockade causing the economy to enter free fall.

    • Pentacat [he/him]
      ·
      3 months ago

      The audacity to say “here’s how it’s going to be” to a sovereign nation without even bothering with a false pretense. I guess killing a million plus of your own citizens in a pandemic via negligent homicide with no consequences has really emboldened the US government.

      • VILenin [he/him]
        ·
        3 months ago

        “Prepare for post-head-attached-to-your-neck phase”, VILenin tells US Ambassador Lisa Johnson

        • miz [any, any]
          ·
          3 months ago

          there are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decapitations happen

      • GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]
        ·
        3 months ago

        They're manifesting. They did this shit with Russia, Gaza, Yemen, and now Lebanon. They'll keep doing this too. That's what their foreign policy has come to; walk in, declare "how things are gonna be", get ass handed and eat shit when attempting to force other party to bend to us demands, leave and keep talking about it in media releases.

    • Dessa [she/her]
      ·
      3 months ago

      They said the same thing about installing the PA in Gaza, and they're no closer to that goal either.

    • Ram_The_Manparts [he/him]
      ·
      3 months ago

      hard to believe this is purely cynical, feels like it could be that syndrome where the failsons running the show have fallen for all the previous generation's propaganda

      I 100% believe this to be the case.