Maybe, but I think Africa is more likely. There's a lot more of an NGO "nation building" angle that can be sold there as a replacement for Afghanistan, China's over there heavily, and it's lower risk vs. the potential of another humiliation of another Bay of Pigs type ordeal right after Afghanistan (you have to imagine the Guaido debacle still leaves a sour taste).
South Asia is another likely option. They already have an ally in India and can maybe agitate Pakistan a little more as well. It would probably be an attempt for them to create a bulwark against China instead of taking them on headfirst.
Jfc Biden's gonna try and take this out on Cuba, isn't he?
Maybe, but I think Africa is more likely. There's a lot more of an NGO "nation building" angle that can be sold there as a replacement for Afghanistan, China's over there heavily, and it's lower risk vs. the potential of another humiliation of another Bay of Pigs type ordeal right after Afghanistan (you have to imagine the Guaido debacle still leaves a sour taste).
That or a coup to help Bolsonaro.
South Asia is another likely option. They already have an ally in India and can maybe agitate Pakistan a little more as well. It would probably be an attempt for them to create a bulwark against China instead of taking them on headfirst.