My position for a while was that if Biden runs away with this, whatever shit Trump tries to pull still won't be enough. His best shot was always getting it to a place he can work around the margins using voter supression and blatant cheating. I just thought the trajectory was leading to a Biden blowout.

I don't think that anymore. I can absolutely see this one being >= 5 points come election day. I think the overall Dem aesthetic will start to wear thin on people. I really have no idea how the debates are going to go, but I see them swinging in Trump's favor.

If that's the case, you gotta beat the house on election day, and Trump is the house and you know what he's been doing.

I don't know, just sharing my thoughts. Good to be back with you homies.

  • Phish [he/him, any]
    ·
    4 years ago

    I've had those feelings recently too, mostly because of the DNC. I mean, I'm sure the RNC will be an absolute freak show too. Part of me feels like the kind of voter who can be swayed by like a convention isn't actually watching conventions.

    This election is very different in terms of people's threshold for political aesthetics. Trump had an advantage on Hillary because he was different. He was a break from the political norm. I think that was refreshing to a bunch of dipshits. But now he's the norm and I think people are more tired of that aesthetic than whatever milquetoste garbage the Dems are pushing.

    I don't know. It still blows my mind that anyone could not have their mind made up by now. If anyone could fuck this up it's the Dems but I almost feel like the ball isn't even in their court. People will be voting against Trump, not for Biden. Whatever the Dems do almost feels like it shouldn't matter at this point.

    • hotcouchguy [he/him]
      ·
      4 years ago

      There are very few "undecided" voters, turnout is always much more important, especially this time. Trump is firing up the nutjobs and relying on his base, while Biden is hiding in his bunker and relying on widespread soft support. I wonder if Trump might actually pull this off.

      • Phish [he/him, any]
        ·
        4 years ago

        He does have the "not afraid of covid and excited to prove it by going out to vote" demographic on his side ..

    • hogposting [he/him,comrade/them]
      ·
      4 years ago

      Part of me feels like the kind of voter who can be swayed by like a convention isn’t actually watching conventions.

      You don't have to watch it to hear about it, or to see weird clips from it.