• supafuzz [comrade/them]
    ·
    7 months ago

    he's gonna get blown out in the lowest-turnout election in modern American history

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      ·
      7 months ago

      In the lib brain - American civil religion is the most important thing in the universe and voting is a sacred covenant. The typical r/politics redditor the night of election day will unironically say...

      Look, if people had turned out - Biden would have won and our democracy would have saved. But they didn't so we fucking get Trump again.

      I'll want to say - I dunno - isn't the super-low turnout Biden's fault?

      • DamarcusArt@lemmygrad.ml
        ·
        7 months ago

        And then we'll see these same types salivating at the thought of Trump's policies hurting minorities because "They should've voted for Biden."

      • ReadFanon [any, any]
        ·
        7 months ago

        It's wild how there's so much entitlement inherent to that attitude:

        "Um Sweaty, don't you realise that you're morally obligated to vote or else you will get my disapproval?"

        "Um Sweaty, don't you realise that you're morally obligated to vote for Our Guy™ or else you will get my disapproval?"

        "...gosh, why are all these people so out of touch??"

        There's a non-insignificant chance that if they managed to scold everyone into voting that people might actually vote Trump in protest and they'd need to reckon with that instead of, you know, chastising people even more. I don't think it would be likely enough to happen but the fact is that it's not completely off the cards. It's more likely that you'd see a swing towards third party candidates and spoilt votes that they'd get infuriated over people "ruining democracy" by not adhering to the demands that these voters play by their arbitrary rules and they'd lament how the Dems "could have" won that swing state if only that 0.5% of spoilt votes had actually gone to Biden.

        In a broader sense this is why countries like Israel play with shorter sentences for refusing conscription and why there's a lot of leniency built into how long you are imprisoned for and why imprisoning conscientious objectors for short-ish periods serves a structural function that supports the state; if you jail conscientious objectors for like 10+ years then you turn those very disaffected non-participants mostly into bitterly disaffected recruits who then start resorting to becoming Chelsea Manning figures or they start a culture of the ol' classic Vietnam War fragging of commanding officers (tyfys to those brave Vietnam War veterans unironically btw) , either of which is far more disruptive than having the government put a tiny percentage of resistors into a temporary time-out.

        (Not shitting on any conscientious objectors here tho. I have nothing but love and support for them and I support their committment and personal sacrifices they make on ethical and political grounds. Just speaking about how the government structures and mitigates the threat these people are capable of posing.)

        In a similar sense, if you're "conscripting" people into being compelled to vote then you risk blowback from that. And I'm not talking like countries that have "compulsory" voting where the government sends you stern letters or they make you pay small fines for not voting here.

    • NewLeaf
      ·
      7 months ago

      Matt Christman with those sage predictions again...

      • AbbysMuscles [she/her]
        ·
        7 months ago

        abortion is on the ballot in many states

        Who should I vote for if I want to protect women's bodily autonomy? The party that is limiting it, or the party that shrugged and said they won't do anything to protect it?

        • axont [she/her, comrade/them]
          ·
          7 months ago

          Yeah this is where I'm at. Why exactly is abortion on the ballot during Biden's term? Shouldn't we blame this problem on him then? Biden has very clear steps he could take to protect abortion. He could put clinics on federal land, or pack the supreme court with 10 pro-choice judges. He could do anything other than absolutely nothing.

          It's also not on the ballot in my state of Texas.

          • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
            ·
            7 months ago

            It's also not on the ballot in my state of Texas.

            Until Texas starts doing ballot initiatives (don't hold your breath) I won't be stepping into a voting booth. Can't even do fucking write-ins in this backwards-ass state.

      • Egon
        ·
        edit-2
        2 months ago

        deleted by creator

      • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
        ·
        7 months ago

        Bidens gonna win mainly because abortion is on the ballet,

        Roe v Wade was lost under Biden's administration.

        Biden had control of the house and senate when he was elected and did nothing to protect the right to abortion.

        Democrats have been running on promises to codify Roe v Wade into law for decades. Curiously, they never actually try to make good on it when they get into office on that promise.

        You have to be a grade-A sucker to believe Biden is going to do fuck-all about women's rights if he gets re-elected.

        • Zetta@mander.xyz
          ·
          7 months ago

          I think I failed to convey my original point. The comment I responded to said this will be the lowest-turnout election in history and Biden will lose.

          Because abortion is actually going to be on the ballot in numerous states I think this may be one of the highest turnouts ever, and I think the people turning up to vote yes on protecting abortion will also vote for Biden, regardless of what he actually does for abortion.

          Fingers crossed if he wins they will actually make it federal law, but that's not what I meant when I said abortion is on the ballot.

          • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
            ·
            7 months ago

            It's only on the ballot in one marginal swing state. You're just wish casting, this is isn't analysis.

          • AOCapitulator [they/them, she/her]
            ·
            edit-2
            7 months ago

            When you are wrong, when it turns out you've been a fool and are more wrong with this prediction than you can currently imagine, will you remember this?

            Will you take a single solitary moment to reflect about the foolishl reasoning that brought you here?

            • Zetta@mander.xyz
              ·
              7 months ago

              When I'm likely right, or maybe wrong I will return. Just recently I went back to a 3-month-old comment that I promised to return to to prove myself right when something happened, and I did.

              • 420blazeit69 [he/him]
                ·
                7 months ago

                Gloating about the times you were right is not remotely the same as reflecting on the times you were wrong

      • axont [she/her, comrade/them]
        ·
        7 months ago

        Biden is losing in polls at around the margin of voters who are deeply invested in what's going on with Gaza. He's lost the support of virtually every Muslim in America, and that's important in states with a lot of Muslims like Michigan and Minnesota. He's rapidly losing support among younger people, who are also the ones most interested in abortion rights.

        I actually do think Biden may win, but my gut says it'll be a very funny situation where he wins the electoral college while losing the popular vote.

      • booty [he/him]
        ·
        7 months ago

        and yes I will come back to this post

        nerd

        please do, tag us all. we will all make fun of you again

          • TreadOnMe [none/use name]
            ·
            7 months ago

            "I said some stupid shit and people responded, lol they must be upset." Parrot brain.

            • Zetta@mander.xyz
              ·
              edit-2
              7 months ago

              *I said something that triggered the hexbear echo chamber is more accurate.

              Since everyone de federated y'all you probably don't get many dissenting opinions, and they really seem to cause a reaction

              • Hexagons [e/em/eir]
                ·
                7 months ago

                I get my dissenting opinions simply by existing in the society in which I exist. The hexbear "echo chamber" as you put it is small and powerless. This place is a tiny refuge, a brief respite from all the shitiness I see in my day to day life.

                Hexbear isn't an "echo chamber" in the same way the republican media circuit is, because we have to leave it. Republicans never do. They can read articles and watch talking heads and never once be challenged on their beliefs. As a communist, I'm challenged on my beliefs every single day. Most articles I read and most talking heads I watch disagree with me.

                We respond to lost libs like you for a few reasons. One is maybe we'll change a mind, not necessarily yours but perhaps a lurker reading the conversation. Another is entertainment. It's really funny when someone wanders in here and is the living embodiment of the memeing we do. Sometimes we want an argument, usually because we're having a shitty day and just want to be an asshole on the Internet. This isn't a good motivation and I wish it didn't happen, but it does. None of us is immune.

                You're getting responses not because we're unused to being challenged, but because we want to respond to you for whatever reason. My response here is explaining our inner workings so hopefully you can come away from this thread seeing us as people with ideas that we believe. We haven't been tricked into thinking as we do, most of us go against the grain of our societies to come to our beliefs. I want to change a mind today, ideally yours, and I've chosen a gentle tone full of candor to try to do so. Will it be effective? I have no way of knowing, but I hope so. Please realize we're not bots or russian agents or trapped in a cult or whatever, we're humans with thoughts and experiences that have led us to our beliefs.

                • Zetta@mander.xyz
                  ·
                  7 months ago

                  Hey, I enjoyed your response and am thankful you took the time to write it out. I agree with your evaluation on hexbear not truly being an echo chamber after you compared it to Republicans.

                  It's funny you list potential reasons for responding to me because your reasons are just about in line with mine, maybe not in regards to changing your mind because I really don't think anyone could change any of your minds ever haha, but for entertainment and sometimes just to be an ass.

                  Mainly the reason I interact with hexbear sometimes is because you all fascinate me, our opinions differ so much but in quite a different way vs how mine differ from a maga Republican.

                  I can be a petty person and come off as a dick when I'm speaking with someone who has a different opinion than me on something I'm passionate about, but I truly don't hold any hostility/hate to y'all. It's just interesting and amusing to see hexbears responses to things I say, and sometimes enlightening like yours!

                  • Hexagons [e/em/eir]
                    ·
                    7 months ago

                    I'm going to push back on just one thing you've said, which is that you don't think anyone could change any minds here. That's blatantly false. I have my mind changed all the time, and I've seen it happen with other people on here too. We're willing to have our minds changed and we understand that we're fallible and other people know more than we do about various things.

                    I think maybe what you meant to say is that you understand that hexbears can't be convinced to go back to being libs. And that's true. I'll never again think that the Democrats are anything other than my enemies. I used to think they were my allies, but I've changed my mind and I see now that they never were and never will be. So in that sense I guess you're right, but politics is so much bigger and more complicated than just red vs blue, elephant vs donkey.

                    Free yourself from the two-party bourgeois democracy you were born into. You're young, you have so much learning to do and so much time in which to do it! Lurk here and actually read the things people post. I've learned so much from my fellow hexbears and I hope you will too.

                    • Zetta@mander.xyz
                      ·
                      7 months ago

                      I completely agree the two party system is a joke, we'd be much better off with many more parties with differing opinions and ranked choice voting.

                      • Hexagons [e/em/eir]
                        ·
                        7 months ago

                        Ah. My bad, I shouldn't have mentioned "two-party" at all. The issue with our electoral system is that it's a bourgeois electoral system, not that it happens to have two parties.

                        • Zetta@mander.xyz
                          ·
                          7 months ago

                          I learned a new word, this also probably explains our opinion differences quite well. I grew up in the middle class and as an adult continue to reside at that level.

                          All in all the system has treated me well, which I'm well aware is not how most people experience it.

                          • Wakmrow [he/him]
                            ·
                            7 months ago

                            The system has treated me fairly well as well. But once you see the ugly side of it there's no real going back.

                      • Sons_of_Ferrix
                        ·
                        7 months ago

                        Actually achieving that in the US is impossible via purely peaceful "within the system" means. It would require a social upheaval, maybe not a blood revolution but at least a long period of nasty civil unrest.

                  • take_five_seconds [he/him, any]
                    ·
                    edit-2
                    7 months ago

                    Mainly the reason I interact with hexbear sometimes is because you all fascinate me, our opinions differ so much but in quite a different way vs how mine differ from a maga Republican.

                    you should start lurking the news megathreads. not the shitposting ones tho the bodies of those megathreads are always full of useful, interesting content. there's still shitposting in the news mega but it's very different. the news mega is where people do a lot of geopolitical analysis; there're lots of dense posts in those threads that you might enjoy for one reason or another.

              • nat_turner_overdrive [he/him]
                ·
                7 months ago

                We don't have downvotes because it's a dog-brained way to do discussion. As a result, when somebody posts something really stupid we can't just downvote you, we have to reply if we want to let you know we think you're a clown.

              • tocopherol@lemmy.dbzer0.com
                ·
                7 months ago

                There are numerous instances still federated with hexbear, there are actual arguments here where people are actually trying to learn. It's one of the further things from an echo chamber, you can't even downvote!

                • Zetta@mander.xyz
                  ·
                  7 months ago

                  Yes I agree with you now, someone else sent me a good message on why this isn't an echo chamber. I was also wondering why I didn't have any dislikes, that explains it!

              • Egon
                ·
                edit-2
                2 months ago

                deleted by creator

                • Zetta@mander.xyz
                  ·
                  7 months ago

                  I responded to somebody else in regards to my echo chamber comment, so I'll just say I have no issue with you not voting for Joe Biden and I never said I did. I just think he's going to win

              • Egon
                ·
                edit-2
                2 months ago

                deleted by creator

              • TheDeed [he/him, comrade/them]
                ·
                7 months ago

                Honestly this is rich considering that the other instances defederderated because they don't want to hear a dissenting opinion, not the other way around.

                I think you'll find that people on here generally love when someone from another instance wanders in lol.

          • Egon
            ·
            edit-2
            2 months ago

            deleted by creator

      • HumanBehaviorByBjork [any, undecided]
        ·
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        if i was a single issue voter for abortion, I wouldn't vote for a lifelong anti-choice democrat who allowed abortion rights to be revoked under his presidency.

      • Tankiedesantski [he/him]
        ·
        7 months ago

        Not that what is happening in Gaza Isn't horrible or important but the reality is most Americans don't care that much.

        I wish no harm on the American ruling class. My enemy is the American people.

      • UmbraVivi [he/him, she/her]
        ·
        7 months ago

        Why are you pretending that Biden isn't currently in power and hasn't been in power for the past 4 fucking years? Why has he done jackshit about abortion as of yet, and why do you think he'll do something once reelected?

      • Greenleaf [he/him]
        ·
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        Legitimate question: is abortion on the ballot in Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, or Georgia?

        Because if not, then it’s entirely irrelevant. Totally irrelevant. As much as everyone talks about voting (or not voting} for Biden or Trump, for the overwhelming majority of Americans who don’t live in a swing state their voting for president is pointless. So unless abortion is on the ballot in swing states it’s a non-factor.

        Abortion does motivate people, and that factors into it if it’s on the ballot in swing states. But when you look at presidential candidates you would be hard pressed to find a candidate with as bad of numbers that Biden has inside and outside of his party. Not even LBJ had as bad of numbers and he dropped out of the race because he knew how unpopular he was.

        Edit: According to this map, the only swing state where abortion might be on the ballot is Arizona; and Nevada if you count that as a swing state.

          • Poison_Ivy [comrade/them]
            ·
            7 months ago

            Maybe the Dems should get on that then if Democracy is on the line.

            How seriously are you taking this election if youre putting up Biden of all people as the candidate against Trump again and especially now when he is historically extremely unpopular and has a legacy of horrible policies to drag him down further

            Like fuck you man, get a soul.

          • Greenleaf [he/him]
            ·
            edit-2
            7 months ago

            Right, so it’s only a factor in one of the six states that determine the election. I would not call that particularly determinative for the final result. Abortion will not determine the outcome of the election, but Gaza very likely will. Or said another way, it would be incredibly bad campaign strategy for Biden to rely on abortion to carry him to victory while continuing to help genocide Palestinians.

      • AOCapitulator [they/them, she/her]
        ·
        7 months ago

        Lmao bidens going to win because abortion is on the ballot

        You're an absurd person, do you know that?

        Do you know that Biden is personally responsible for helping block enshrinning abortion rights into law at least twice?

        Do you even pay the slightest attention to the actions these people take, or do you just cheer and clap while reading press statements and Twitter posts

        Gullible fool

      • Poison_Ivy [comrade/them]
        ·
        7 months ago

        the reality is most Americans don't care that much

        But we do. And thats we refuse to vote for genocide enablers but I understand condemning genocide is a skill issue for you

      • Zodiark
        ·
        edit-2
        4 months ago

        deleted by creator

        • Zetta@mander.xyz
          ·
          7 months ago

          When I come back to brag it's not because I support Joe sending aid to Israel to commit genocide, it's because y'all are so deep in your echo chamber you are basically MAGA but opposite and it will amuse me when you're wrong.

          Sorry an outsider has spoken in the sacred echo chamber, dissenting opinions do not belong here

      • robinn_IV
        ·
        7 months ago

        Bidens gonna win mainly because abortion is on the ballet, and yes I will come back to this post when he wins to remind you I was right.

        I'll remind you constantly when he loses mao-wave

      • TreadOnMe [none/use name]
        ·
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        If Biden wins it will be because he convinced morons like you that "Abortion is on the ballot". It must be nice to have no thoughts and just repeat advertising slogans. Do you just have "Eat Fresh" playing on loop in your head as well?

        If abortion is on the ballot, then go vote for that actual policy in your state. There is no way to guarantee that Democrats protect abortion rights even if elected, and their track record is piss poor. Electing Biden will do nothing about abortion in individual states, and we know that because he isn't doing shit about those restrictions now.

        • Zetta@mander.xyz
          ·
          edit-2
          7 months ago

          I mean I'll be voting for Biden mainly because Trump's a dictator wannabe (you guys like that right?) and Biden has sorta done an okay job supporting Ukraine with military aid, which I also support. Abortion is on the ballot in my state so I will be voting to support that as well.

            • Zetta@mander.xyz
              ·
              7 months ago

              I think you're joking but I honestly have no idea what you folks are saying 68% of the time

                • Zetta@mander.xyz
                  ·
                  7 months ago

                  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ you all just use lingo, jokes, and references I don't understand, I'm not proud to be ignorant but ok

                  • Egon
                    ·
                    edit-2
                    2 months ago

                    deleted by creator

                    • Zetta@mander.xyz
                      ·
                      7 months ago

                      Lol well me interacting here is partially because I find hexbear interesting and I want to know more. I deleted my reddit account the day they disabled 3rd party apps :'(. I like Lemmy

                      • AOCapitulator [they/them, she/her]
                        ·
                        edit-2
                        7 months ago

                        If you really felt this way you could try, I dunno, asking fucking questions?

                        Waltzing into a leftist space and flaunting how politically illiterate you are while being inflammatory and without asking earnest questions is such a ridiculous move to make and then complain when people got mad

                      • Egon
                        ·
                        edit-2
                        2 months ago

                        deleted by creator

                        • Zetta@mander.xyz
                          ·
                          7 months ago

                          I didn't say I liked hexbear, I like Lemmy. I know it was originally made by communists or whatever but sadly for y'all it's grown well beyond that origin story.

                          • Egon
                            ·
                            edit-2
                            2 months ago

                            deleted by creator

                            • Zetta@mander.xyz
                              ·
                              7 months ago

                              Well once you scroll for a while on Lemmy past all the higher like count posts it's mostly hexbear and porn on my feed, so ya I interact here on occasion because y'all are interesting and amusing.

                  • TheLepidopterists [he/him]
                    ·
                    7 months ago

                    I love to make unfounded claims about the politics of the people I'm talking to, and let them know how much I'm going to gloat about me being right and then being wrong, even though I admittedly don't understand anything they're saying.

                    You are absolutely proud of your ignorance.

          • Egon
            ·
            edit-2
            2 months ago

            deleted by creator

          • panopticon [comrade/them]
            ·
            edit-2
            7 months ago

            Biden has sorta done an okay job supporting Ukraine with military aid, which I also support

            You support a fascist coup regime

            I'll be voting for Biden

            You support genocide

            • Zetta@mander.xyz
              ·
              7 months ago

              ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ I don't believe Ukraine is a fascist coup regime, in fact I think that's a better description of Russia except the coup part, Putin just has total control anyway.

              Either way since you seem to support Russia I will just state how much I love seeing the significant material and personnel loss Russia is suffering in the invasion. It is astonishing how significantly Ukraine has degraded their capabilities and displaced their status as one of the best armies in the world, and I honestly cannot wait to see what Ukraine does next.

              I don't know what my favorite part is, Ukraine destroying/disabling Russia's entire black sea fleet (they are too scared to use their remaining ships since they have lost so many) or that Ukraine has removed 10% (maybe up to 15% so far https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-strikes-may-have-hit-15-russian-refinery-capacity-nato-official-2024-04-04/) of Russia's refinery capacity with drone strikes, and that number will continue to grow.

          • TreadOnMe [none/use name]
            ·
            7 months ago

            Fuck Trump.

            Of course you would support continuing the wars, it's your favorite past-time, liberal. You claim people don't care about foreign policy, and yet here you are, making a vote based on foreign policy.

            Yeah, yeah, we know what you care about. us-foreign-policy

            • Zetta@mander.xyz
              ·
              7 months ago

              My understanding of what a liberal is is just the first paragraph on Wikipedia and I assume that's not exactly what you think of as a liberal? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

              I'm not sure what I am politically, I've never given it much thought. I just vote based on who's available to vote for and what they support specifically.

              • skeletorsass [she/her]
                ·
                7 months ago

                On here we use global definition of liberal. This mean that they support private property, capitalism, current world system, and the bourgeois rule. They can want anything from the strict austerity to the social democracy. Liberalism is the official ideology of the United States Constitution. Every politician in the United States is a liberal. Two party system do not allow anyone who is not a liberal to run.

              • Egon
                ·
                edit-2
                2 months ago

                deleted by creator

          • AOCapitulator [they/them, she/her]
            ·
            7 months ago

            Definitely, unlike you who loves freedom and democracy, we hate all people and think they should be lorded over by an unaccountable dictator who society has no influence on the decision of, no matter how unpopular that person is, we just want to force them through!

            Wait that's Biden

          • Sons_of_Ferrix
            ·
            7 months ago

            If Trumps such an evil fascist why didn't he go full Hitler in his first term?

            Why wouldn't he just eat McDonalds and watch Fox all day in his second term like he did his first?

      • Evilphd666 [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        most Americans don't care that much.

        Our foriegn policy has direct effects on global markets. Our excessive sanctions squeeze supply and drive up prices. Our overt and covert meddling in the Global South effect prices and eventually mass migrants. They'll get frothingfash mad at the "invasion at the border" but they refuse to take that next logical past the nose leap and ask what is the root cause of this? They'll move armies of trucks and tractors for symptoms, but refuse to see America for the damned monster it is despite people through the generations pointing to exactly the problem

        Fascists that control the finacial class in this country.

        Smedley Butler warned us they wanted to do a fascist coup. Eisenhower warned us of the investor-defense Military Industrial Complex. Kennedy warned us that those who are unable to protest in their nations for peaceful change will result in violent overthrows. Wesley Clark said we were taken over by a Policy Coup by the Project for a New American Century bolton

        It takes maaybe a few hours of cursory education to see finance corrupt politicians and finance manipulating foreign policy and how that directly effects prices at home.

        The knock on effects of this war and subsequent consequences in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe will directly be felt in American pocketbooks forever. Once it inflates, capital wants to lock in those inflated prices. That is the nature. Every dollar they earn, have earned, will earn is now worth less because they didn't give a shit about some brown people being genocided.

      • CyborgMarx [any, any]
        ·
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        You guys are weird, abortion is on the ballot in many states

        Yeah in specific state ballots you dumb fuck lmao, that doesn't magically translate into turnout for the general election, especially considering Roe vs Wade was lost under Biden's watch and he doesn't support "abortion on demand" as he calls it

        Do you even support abortion, feels like you just picked an issue at random to try and engineer a gotcha, despite the fact you clearly had no idea about Biden's stated position lmao try again