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    • MemesAreTheory [he/him, any]
      2·
      4 years ago

      That's an arbitrary split. If we removed Georgia, Arizona, and Michigan, but Biden kept Wisconsin, then Trump also wins. The only thing the three you listed have in common is that the vote totals are VERY close. The fact is all of those states, including Michigan, went for Trump last time. Excluding Michigan makes the flip seem smaller than it actually is.

      • cilantrofellow [any]
        1·
        4 years ago

        ... dude what, of course that’s why I chose them that’s how elections work.

        It’s not arbitrary to choose the states with the slimmest margins as the ones most likely to flip. If you deleted 22,000 votes for Biden in every state he would still win Michigan and lose the election. But you only delete 20, 000 votes from every state Biden still wins in Wisconsin (and Michigan) and wins the race despite losing AZ and GA. Michigan (and PA) is irrelevant to changing the outcome.

        • MemesAreTheory [he/him, any]
          ·
          4 years ago

          Man I had written this whole thing trying to explain my position, but electoralism (and certainly the electoral College) is garbage anyway and it's a waste of mine and your time.

          I get your point, it's just one of a hundred different ways to present the data to spin a narrative. Focus on whatever you want, it doesn't actually matter.