Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.

Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

  • nohaybanda [he/him]
    ·
    2 months ago

    in today's hopium news: The US Military Is In A Death Spiral by comrade Indrajit

    Teaser:

    The US army is the worst army in the world. They're the only army that aspires to worldwide dominance, and they suck at it. It's the only Empire based on losing every war and looting its own treasury. Losing the last war is always covered up by the starting the next war, but if you look at it historically, America has been losing it for decades now. Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Palestine, these are all losses or draws.

    • FloridaBoi [he/him]
      ·
      2 months ago

      The US military budget is a measure of corruption, not competence.

      Sums up the whole piece

    • thethirdgracchi [he/him, they/them]
      ·
      2 months ago

      I think this is a fundamental misunderstanding of what the US military's purpose is within American empire, and how it's funded. Note that the American taxpayer does not fund the military, foreign countries with recycled dollars they accumulate from global trade do that by buying US Treasury bonds. And the military keeps "losing" but the shareholders of all those defense firms are quite happy. Long term sure the US is fucked if it's military can't even take out missile launchers in Yemen, but long is a rather long time.

      • Hexboare [they/them]
        ·
        2 months ago

        Note that the American taxpayer does not fund the military, foreign countries with recycled dollars they accumulate from global trade do that by buying US Treasury bonds

        The US government takes dollars from US taxpayers and points to the military budget as part of the reason why.

        If this is a "fundamental misunderstanding of what the US military's purpose" is, what is?

        • thethirdgracchi [he/him, they/them]
          ·
          2 months ago

          Sure, but taxes are just to prove creditworthiness for bond sales. Governments are not funded by taxes. The US military's primary purposes are to generate capital for the shareholders of defense contractors and be a big enough stick to threaten allies that don't use dollars to buy Treasury bonds. All the other stuff, wars included, is secondary.

          • Z_Poster365 [none/use name]
            ·
            2 months ago

            All great in theory until another war occurs where their interests are greatly at stake, and they cannot achieve strategic victory. Until the myth of dominance fades and the world goes wild, defying the US in every corner of Africa, South America, Europe and Asia. Until the entire thing implodes or is defeated in the field to the point it must concede major losses

            • thethirdgracchi [he/him, they/them]
              ·
              2 months ago

              Agreed, but losing Iraq and Afghanistan and Vietnam and Korea hasn't seemed to dent the United States ability to force its allies to keep buying Treasuries. It'll implode eventually, empires always do, but it's more resilient than I'd like.

              • ziggurter [he/him, comrade/them]
                ·
                2 months ago

                Even the loses can be fucking intimidating, especially when there's a U.S. military base around every corner (and "guest" troops in "your" military base when there isn't one that technically belongs to the empire).

                It's like when you take some ex-employer to court, and have a rock-solid case about retaliation or illegal discrimination or whatever, but the legal proceedings take many years, all you get is some lousy back-wages and a notice posted on the corporation's break room for a while, and you just want the whole thing to be fucking over now that you've had to move on and deal with yet another fucking boss for a good portion of your life on top of the legal battle. It has a pretty devastating effect on you even if you technically "win". Whether it's capitalists or their empire you are fighting, there's a lot of machinery towering over you.

          • Hexboare [they/them]
            ·
            2 months ago

            I agree generally but the country controlling the global reserve currency doesn't need to care about convincing future creditors.

            Threatening allies and maintaining the international economic system is still important and something the US military is doing increasingly poorly with.

          • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]
            ·
            2 months ago

            When you pay your taxes, they don’t go into funding government programs. Your money gets destroyed in the Treasury.

            There is no actual destruction of money being done this way, unless the relevant units are too damaged. The taxed money is either put into the treasury or it is returned into circulation through a budget.
            On that note, it doesn't matter where money came from with regards to a budget, so when people say that some part of a budget if funded by some specific money (in the short term, at least), they are being silly.

            I'd also say that the points about money that individual people have being 'tax credit' are not informative.

            However, yes, the obsession with calling money 'taxpayer money' is rather silly, and it should be recognised that money is something issued by a government in order to reliably distribute various goods/services in a society. A state could, indeed, decide to maintain its military in many different ways, including with no budget, depending on how it sets up its economy. (However, it should be noted that it does depend on how the economy is set up. Capitalist states generally need to pay wages/salaries to its military, as well as buy equipment and/or resources to make equipment with for the military, which necessitates usage of money, and simply issuing more money without an increase in productive capacity would mean a reduction in the ability of money to guarantee one goods and services.)

            I do have to say that you did not make the relevant points clear for other people. It isn't going to be clear to people what sort of a shift in understanding you are talking about there in the end.

              • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]
                ·
                2 months ago

                When government taxes, the liability of the central bank (L1, monetary base) falls and so too did its asset (A1, claims on non-federal sector) and so it is balanced out

                Finally, an explanation for what people mean when they say that 'money is destroyed' when it is taxed. However, all this means is just that money is taken out of circulation, which is much better explained in just those words - that less money stays in circulation.

                There is no direct link between taxed money and budget spending (you don’t move money from one account to another like you’d do when you buy stuff)

                There isn't a direct transference from accounts, but there is the fact that a government is forced to maintain a balance of its revenues (which include taxation) and budgets. That means that revenues (including taxation, which is a major part of every government's revenue) and budgets are not completely separate things that exist independently of each other.

                In any case, it's rather silly to go for the sensationalist 'money is destroyed upon being taxed!' instead of going with the much more informative 'money is taken out of circulation'.

                The only reason why taxes were needed to “finance” government spending was that during the gold standard era, the currency was tied to gold (or another currency/commodity).

                There is also the whole thing regarding the need for maintenance of balance between revenues and budgets, which is a basic macroeconomic fact.

                The rest of what you say in the comment (apart from yet another insistence on money being destroyed) isn't controversial and is, in fact, covered/touched upon in my other posts in different wording.

                  • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]
                    ·
                    2 months ago

                    They are destroyed when taxed

                    Show me a source for the claim that notes and coins get destroyed or clarify what you mean by money getting destroyed and how that is different from it being taken out of circulation.

                    Unless I missed how governments routinely waste energy and resources on burning non-damaged bank notes just to make almost exact same things at the same time instead of just re-using them, it doesn't seem like any actual destruction is happening, and all that does is how much money remains in circulation.

                    Also, money is obviously not literally just debt. It is very liquid capital that serves as an exchange equivalent for goods and services. Also, I'd like to ask, in what sense is counterfeit money - which is still money - 'just debt'?

                    At the very least, you are being extremely uninformative, and you seem to be either unwilling or unable to elaborate on your claims.

              • What_Religion_R_They [none/use name]
                ·
                2 months ago

                Ok people pay taxes, the money goes to the government, it gets allocated and used elsewhere. then you're saying they just fudge the numbers at the treasury to make taxes be cancelled out? To have this manipulation, the people doing the manipulation must be cognizant of this process, but acknowledged processes are not how capitalism works, so what is the magic trick here? How does this money destruction take place and what is the rationale that the treasury uses for it?

                • coolusername@lemmy.ml
                  ·
                  2 months ago

                  https://www.law.georgetown.edu/environmental-law-review/blog/federal-taxes-do-not-finance-spending-and-cost-benefit-analysis-must-change/

                  According to MMT, all dollars are spent into existence by the federal government first and taxed out of existence later.[8] When the federal government taxes dollars, it does not collect them— it destroys them.[9] This destruction of dollars serves an existentially important purpose: it guarantees private demand for the dollar, which otherwise has no determinable minimum value. Companies, households, and other currency users must pay their federal taxes in dollars to the currency issuer or else face severe punishment. The dollar’s unique ability to cancel tax obligations becomes its stable baseline value in the private market.

                  The federal government, of course, does not tax itself. It has as much need for its own dollars as a teacher does for their own brownie points. As the currency issuer, the federal government never collects its own dollars because its purpose is to allocate them. It must spend more dollars into the economy than it taxes out, or else dollars would drain from the economy until none existed.[10] When considering how many dollars to spend into existence, the federal government’s true concern is whether the new dollars will dilute the currency, causing inflation.[11]

                  • What_Religion_R_They [none/use name]
                    ·
                    2 months ago

                    It doesn't answer the question, just reiterates what is said. Saying taxation destroys the currency is good and all but it's fundamentally untrue, because taxes do go somewhere in the end. They get allocated, reallocated, and spent elsewhere. They do not cease to exist. I am open to being proven wrong.

            • TechnoAnomie [he/him, any]
              ·
              2 months ago

              Double entry book keeping that sums to zero. You can find a better description, but it's something like this:

              Government spends first, telling treasury to increase numbers in appropriate accounts. The treasury "withdraws" money from the Fed, which is also the state, creating a deposit from the left pocket to the right, and from the right pocked to the left. When taxes are payed, the treasury can "return" the money, wiping the spending from circulation. If the Fed sells debt, it can only be payed with money on the same currency that was already spent into existence. Loaning also creates money in the form of extra debt, but that debt can only be payed if it is spent into existence.

              • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]
                ·
                2 months ago

                When taxes are payed, the treasury can "return" the money, wiping the spending from circulation

                That means that the money is not destroyed. Equating destruction of money with taking money from circulation and putting it into what is effectively a government's savings is incredibly silly and non-informative.

                • TechnoAnomie [he/him, any]
                  ·
                  2 months ago

                  The only savings are the paper, if it's physical money. The consolidated government reduces and increases the total value of reserves when needed either way.

                  • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]
                    ·
                    2 months ago

                    Notably, physical money is still in use.

                    I maintain that the 'money is destroyed' analogy is silly and uninformative. It is much better to just say specifically what you mean - that money is taken out of circulation.

          • Hexboare [they/them]
            ·
            2 months ago

            So that's a long post before I read it, can you confirm that you've read my much smaller little bit of text?

            The US government takes dollars from US taxpayers and points to the military budget as part of the reason why.

            I'm not saying that taxes "pay" for the military ("oh no my numbers don't add up on both sides of the balance sheet!!")

            But the US government taxes money from people, destroys it and points to the military budget as part of the reason.

              • Hexboare [they/them]
                ·
                2 months ago

                Literally all the time?

                The liberal hand wringers say the military budget needs to be cut to fund public goods and services, and the deficit hawks say public services and government must be cut down to the bare essentials (military and courts)

      • coolusername@lemmy.ml
        ·
        2 months ago

        they don't even need to buy treasuries, the fed can credit member banks (i forgot the unit of account) and they in turn buy treasuries from the open market. Japan does this and has done it for quite a while

    • EstraDoll [she/her]
      ·
      2 months ago

      inshallah-script Inshallah our comrade is more correct than humanly imaginable

    • o_d [he/him]@lemmygrad.ml
      ·
      2 months ago

      Left unchecked, the acquisition Death Spiral’s inevitable destination is unilateral disarmament. Norman Augustine, a former DoD official and Lockheed Martin CEO predicted in 1983, with only a hint of satire, that by 2054, “the entire defense budget will purchase just one aircraft. This aircraft will have to be shared by the Air Force and Navy 3-1/2 days each per week except for leap year, when it will be made available to the Marines for the extra day.”

      Lmfao! Thanks for sharing!

      • FALGSConaut [comrade/them]M
        ·
        2 months ago

        Why are you even here? I'm serious, I think you'd be better off if you took some time to yourself, take a walk, visit a friend, spend time on a hobby, enjoy yourself. Log off your designated hate-scroll account and take a breather.

        It must be rough to be so starved of human connection that you feel the need to doomscroll an obscure lefty forum.

        • ElChapoDeChapo [he/him, comrade/them]
          ·
          2 months ago

          I mean I already DMed him a different suggestion for what he should do to himself but I like how you have this patience and kindness that I just can't find for husks like that

          • FALGSConaut [comrade/them]M
            ·
            2 months ago

            I'm definitely not opposed to your method, I just find it incredibly depressing to think of the kind of person that goes out of their way to spend that much time and energy trying to "troll" people that just repeatedly dunk on them. There must be a better use of their finite time on earth than being a bottom tier troll on a leftist website with a few hundred/thousand active users.

            I really mean it when I say I think they would be happier if they went out and just did something they actually like doing. It also helps that I don't actually have to interact with them, I'm sure they would have accused me of being an antisemetic Nazis because I checks notes told them they should log off and touch grass

              • FALGSConaut [comrade/them]M
                ·
                2 months ago
                cw suicide

                It would incredibly funny if he were the subject of the next "oh boo hoo our poor war criminal" obituary because he was an IOF hasbara troll that got bullied to suicide