Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.


In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.

Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.

It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.


After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Okay, look, I got a little carried away. Monday's update usually covers the preceding Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but I went ahead and did all of last week. If people like a more weekly structure then I might try that instead, if not, then I'll go back to the Mon-Wed-Fri schedule.

Links and Stuff

The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • MemesAreTheory [he/him, any]
    ·
    edit-2
    10 months ago

    Somebody snap me out of it. I'm causing myself psychic harm because libs on nominally left Facebook pages are malding over Musk apparently disabling starlink for a Ukrainian attack, and I can't stop bullying them for being brainworm riddled seals clapping along to Western MIC cash cow projects.

    How do these idiots not realize the bloodlust for Russia is exactly the same as it was for Iraq? How the fuck do you learn that literally every foreign intervention the US has been involved in during the last 150 years has been naked imperialism or proven lies to mask that imperialism, and go "yeah, no, THIS time it's legit. Surely the State Department/Pentagon wouldn't fool us again..."

    Seriously, these fucking Blue MAGA morons don't see the parallel between their "oh, you're anti-war? Great job supporting fascist Putler smuglord" and the rhetoric warhawks used for years against the anti-war movement during the Iraq war? This is an anti-billionaire Facebook page! How do these people think the problem here is that the Billionaire didn't use his property to kill people for a change?

    • PosadistInevitablity [he/him]
      ·
      10 months ago

      They are nationalist before they are leftist, simple as that.

      Anyone America fights must be ontological evil personified.

      • VILenin [he/him]
        ·
        10 months ago

        Their “anti war” sentiment only ever comes up when the poor US war criminals stub their toes in their air conditioned portapotties in Afghanistan or whatever. They don’t care about the real victims of war, they always make it about themselves and how war is bad because daddy came home with carpal tunnel after bombing the latest wedding. That’s their “opposition”. If they aren’t affected they don’t care.

    • AssortedBiscuits [they/them]
      ·
      10 months ago

      They're only anti-Iraq War because US troops kept on getting owned by Iraqi mujahideen. Victory has many fathers while defeat is an orphan.

      • Flaps [he/him]
        ·
        edit-2
        10 months ago

        Didn't the anti war movement in America during Vietnam start when Americans started coming back in body bags?

        I mean I might be wrong but about that but seems like the fastest way for the western public to be against war is to confront them with what war entails

    • GaveUp [she/her]
      ·
      edit-2
      10 months ago

      Literally 73% of Americans supported the Iraq war at the time. There's no reason why it'd be different this time

      It should be expected to be worse imo because the propaganda machine has only improved since then

    • trompete [he/him]
      ·
      10 months ago

      Around here most people were actually against the Iraq war, so they are somehow stupider and more bloodthirsty than twenty years ago.