I understand why they did it I just think they severely miscalculated how stiff the resistance would be,how relatively ineffective there armed forces would be and how strongly the west would react.
I mean Russia has already failed in that the invasion is a massive boondoggle that will cost them way more then they wanted to pay to get way less then they thought they were getting. Them straight up not being able to complete the conquest is the odd on favorite outcome on betting sites as of now. This could not realistically have gone much worse for them.
An Amphibious invasion of Taiwan would be the largest naval operation in the history of mankind. Taiwan would have years to prepare, and the Chinese would have to sink the entire western naval force that would be sent to stop it on top of executing one of the most complex military movements you can attempt.
You think the US Balkanizes by 2050? I doubt that highly. There are not even clear fault lines for Balkanization even the most conservative states have like 40% of people that vote the other way and vice versa.
There gonna do what they should have done to begin with. They are gonna wait 30 years for Russia to completely implode because it’s a tinpot petrostate with shrinking demographics then redeclare independence
Do we have any reason to believe that both Russia and Ukraine are actually interested in negotiating at this time? Like it would surprise me not at all if one or both sides were just content to duke it out for now.
Well I mean leftist movements not being even in the zip code of a legitmate threat to capital in the west is not exactly a hot take. More like an objective read of reality.
Israel has nukes and you would have to be very ignorant of the history of those people to think they wouldnt be willing to plunge the world into nuclear hellfire rather then being driven from israel. Thats the beginning middle and end of the argument.
I will say what I have always said about Trotsky. He is the only man in history that I am aware of to start a political intrigue battle as commander of the armed forces and lose.
I mean this is true in the sense that it was a massively dumb thing to say that destroyed his political carrier and he probably deeply regrets having said it.
The people of the US won't even put a piece of cloth on there face to stop one million of there people from dying. I can not over state my skepticism at this moment.
·3 years ago
·3 years ago
I would imagine that would be a rather one-sided affair. Poland by all accounts has a "big boy" armed forces if on the smaller end.