• micnd90 [he/him,any]
    ·
    3 months ago

    https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

    Kamala is now 2nd favorite on the betting market. Copstonk going up stonks-up

    • SacredExcrement [any, comrade/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      Oh my god she's closing in on doubling up on Joe

      And she originally dropped out of the 2020 race before she could lose her home state hahahahahaha

      Ed: it was 17.6 for her and 9.7 for Joe at time of comment, market seems to be shifting back to Joe

      • HamManBad [he/him]
        ·
        3 months ago

        In retrospect, that one move might have propelled her to the white house. Everyone clowned on her at the time but now she's looking like J Cole bowing out of the beef

      • micnd90 [he/him,any]
        ·
        3 months ago

        I personally think the only viable candidate is Kamala, not for her competence, but strictly due to her position as VP. In theory, the party can pick whoever they want at contested convention, but voters would feel severely disenfranchised if they pick someone without involving a legitimate primary and input from single regular person (delegates are chosen party apparatchik, not real people). It would take a lot of corralling, wheeling and dealing to get Kamala, or other aspiring wannabes (e.g., Newsom, Whitmer, etc.) to bend the knee to the party chosen one - they also risk fracturing the base. All of the current presidential wannabes are still losing to Trump, every single one of them (just not as bad as Biden). Furthermore, people like Newsom and Mayo Pete might not want to have just 3-4 months to run the biggest campaign of their life to the highest office, they might wait out until 2028 instead to run a proper campaign. As such, the only obvious sacrificial lamb/viable candidate is Copmala, it is literally her duty to step up if Joe step down.

          • micnd90 [he/him,any]
            ·
            3 months ago

            True societal equality is when a mixed Indian-Jamaican-American woman cop-prosecutor can fail upward just like white men

        • SoyViking [he/him]
          ·
          3 months ago

          Replacing Genocide Joe with Harris instead of some unelected party apparatchik would probably also be an easier sell to the voting public. She has literally been elected to replace him and there's few things libs love more than following rules and procedures.

          • barrbaric [he/him]
            ·
            edit-2
            3 months ago

            I disagree that she was elected, she performed comically poorly in the primaries and only got the pick because the optics of a black woman in the office made Segregation Joe look 5% less racist. In a way she's the same as how Biden became Obama's VP because he was a racist white guy.

    • Hohsia [he/him]
      ·
      3 months ago

      Holy shit he is absolutely cooked

      Genuinely curious what the hell the DNC is thinking

  • MelaniaTrump [undecided]
    ·
    3 months ago

    This is pure media framing folks. The decision was made already for him to drop out - Pelosi broadcast it hard with "I think it’s a legitimate question". But the DNC isn't interested in the narrative being "Biden drops out due to bad debate performance", but instead wants some performative bullshit like "Biden drops out due to media pressure distracting the American people from discussing the core issues at hand in the race." So they'll spend the next week or two spinning up a shitstorm of a media riot with whiplashing messages.

    In reality grandpa shit the bed and killed his own campaign in a single night. Oopsie.

    • Black_Mald_Futures [any]
      ·
      3 months ago

      In reality grandpa shit the bed his pants and killed his own campaign in a single night. pOopsie.

  • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
    ·
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    He ain't dead. He's just asleep.

    Some Democrats have grown increasingly suspicious that the president’s team has not been fully forthcoming about the impact of aging on him.

    Manchin - hahhahhahhhaaaha

    The dilemma for Democrats was illustrated by the actions of Senator Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, a longtime Democrat who recently abandoned the party. The senator was so disillusioned by Mr. Biden’s debate performance that he asked his staff to book him on several Sunday shows to rail against the state of the campaign.

    Mr. Manchin was also angered that he made phone calls to top Democrats that went unreturned. Eventually, Senator Chris Coons, Democrat of Delaware, Mr. Schumer and other Democrats intervened, and Mr. Manchin canceled his television appearances.

    • Speaker [e/em/eir]
      ·
      3 months ago

      Oh, so they do have some kind of leverage on Manchin, they just don't use it for legislative purposes.

      • casskaydee [she/her]
        ·
        3 months ago

        What are you talking about, Manchin is key to their legislative strategy of never having the votes they need to enact progressive policy

  • Llituro [he/him, they/them]
    ·
    3 months ago

    my guess is that donors have given him like a week or two to turn things around or it's joever

  • MaxOS [he/him]
    ·
    3 months ago

    Biden and his advisors are carefully deliberating whether it's joever or we're so back

  • mayo_cider [he/him]
    ·
    3 months ago

    You can't leave us now, Joe, the captain goes down with his ship

  • Awoo [she/her]
    ·
    3 months ago

    Who is the replacement though?

    Kamala? Hilary?

      • Awoo [she/her]
        ·
        3 months ago

        Obviously it won't be Bernie despite the fact he's OBVIOUSLY the second candidate from the primaries and would be the most democratic option. Also the only person they have who would actually beat Trump.

        • ZWQbpkzl [none/use name]
          ·
          3 months ago

          Bernie is a year older than Biden so that'd be hard to explain why they swapped him out for an older guy. He's probably more lucid still but he'd be a turnip by end if he lives. That said the main reason is still because he's an outsider

          The obvious choice is Kamala since its literally her job. But she's also somehow an outsider.

    • ped_xing [he/him]
      ·
      3 months ago

      if he has two more events like that

      Mf thinks that was strike one and he's good as long as he avoids further plate appearances.