One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Funniest outcome would be Trump somehow winning the popular vote and losing the electoral college which would trigger the Democrat-led National Popular Vote Interstate Compact and push him over the finish line.
Tha isn't in effect. It only kicks in once the states that are part of it represent 270+ electoral votes. It would still be very funny to see Trump win the popular vote and lose the EC, though.
Oh
I feel yr pain, I made a post exactly like your comment a few months ago
I think there's a really good chance of a 269 to 269 where Harriss picks up Nevada/AZ and loses Michigan and PA.
What happens then?
A Regency is called led by Guaidó
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There's a congressional vote and/or a giant shitshow
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it's his turn
Kamala concedes because the difference between her and Joe Biden is she's willing to have a Republican in her administration (as in, in the Oval Office, as in, the head chair, as in, the president)
iirc the house picks a winner and the senate picks the vp
beacon of democracy for the world btw
God that would be so funny
I still think the funniest possibility is chuds somehow winning the popular vote but losing the EC and their collective minds, but the split shitshow of a tie would be hilarious too
Legally, what everyone else said. But this could lead to a crisis of legitimacy if the candidates dug in, and then all bets are off
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Wow Michigan has really flipped hard, huh? Feels like the polls I saw a month or so ago had her ahead there more than any other battleground state.
Large Muslim community there
Should put the actual results for the 2016 and 2020 elections so you know how off the polls are
The polls were not as far off as this chart is implying. Clinton and Biden campaigns did actually lose lot of steam and made a lot of mistakes in the final couple weeks.
Meanwhile the various wars with Israel keep picking up steam, the response to Helena has been woefully inadequate, and there's a non-zero chance the Ukrainian front collapses in the next couple weeks. I don't envy Kamala right now
The only differences in 2020 were Biden losing NC and winning in Georgia. These polls typically have a 2-3% margin of error so anything in that range is a statistical toss-up.
What is the reason for Pennsylvania to lose so much support for the Democrats?
Pure speculation but fetterman can not be helping lol
They’re eating our dogs! They’re eating our cats!
Pennsylvania is ideologically Alabama if you take out Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.
Yes I understand that but it still doesn’t explain the trend between 2020-2024.