Holy hell they’ve been setting Biden up as having “the most progressive platform since FDR” probably for this reason
Democrats must now work to elect the first jewish president: ben shapiro
Their hyperbolic threats to stir up 3% of their base are the only thing keeping 5% Dem base voting in November.
Луще нам не готовить ничего провакичого потому что империалисти не понимают чёрного юмором и толко всёди смотрят худой на ихние золото.
To be fair, far less people self identify as a republican currently then 2016, let alone 2008, so i don't think this is a good weather vane for how things are going
As a general rule, you should mistrust polling percentages until you've looked at the crosstabs and examined the methodology. When I was doing this stuff for a living, the only numbers I relied on were raw totals from past precinct reports and I was usually able to get pretty damn close to the actual election day outcome. That's how I was able to determine months in advance what neighborhoods to canvass, how much money I'd need to raise, etc.
A percentage just gives you a snapshot of sentiment, it doesn't tell you whether someone is going to vote, which a lot of people don't even know themselves until the day of. If they've voted in every election for 10 cycles however, that's much more reliable information. And of course the EC makes most national presidential polls pretty worthless for predicting outcomes.
Soooo.... what is your expectation about the current election?
Sounds really interesting, that would have helped a lot when I was volunteering full time for Bernie and had to deal with campaign staff post-Iowa who were fumbling with assigning canvassing turf (mostly because of the dumbass distributed organizing the campaign decided on). Any interest in making a post in c/electoralism about this, like a 101 type thing? Or at least describe what one would need to learn to do that?
we saw this in 2016 too and it was suggested as the reason why trump won so unexpectedly.
Trump won because Boomers listened to Rush Limbaugh talk shit about Hillary for 25 years.
Of course she was the worst possible candidate. Even if she didn't suck, she was the only American more hated than Donald Trump. The only case for Biden is "repeat 2016 except without the >5% who wouldn't under any circumpstances vote for Hillary" .
Hey, Biden wasn’t the worst candidate this time.
That was Mike Boomerberg.
And that’s why the RNC is focussing on the fear of loosing the status quo and riots close to home angle. To try to lure that 5% back their way since they know suburbanites care most about that.
Aside from philosophical/Overton window shifts, think how many Republicans just died in the past 12 years.
Can't wait for the sequel to boomers, probably with twenty percent more sociopathy.
Exactly. I would like to know the total number of Republicans there are in each year.
i was glowing the entire day after trump won. i heard about my ex's graduate school classmates literally crying in class. i loved it. i wasn't pro trump, i was (and still am) just hugely anti-hillary
I watched someone in my old dorm sit on the stoop and cry immediately after it was announced that Obama had won. When she noticed my buddy and I trying not to snicker, she started yelling that it wasn't funny because now the terrorists would win. We couldn't hold it together any longer than that and she never spoke to us again.
LMAO
The guy's whole excuse for running was "Hey Jack, I'm gonna be able to win over republicans that President Myboss couldn't because, I'm uh, ya know, not a, not...a...black...man.
I've met exactly one Republican who flipped democrat, and he supported Sanders because he thought "help the poor" was more Christian than the alternatives.
I know exactly 1 as well, except he is a college republican loser who desperately dreams for a return of the WASP’s so see’s Biden as that.
And as he pointed out, there hasn't been a significant shift in party registration since August of 2016. Although arguably the Democrats are going after Republican leaning independents and not literally Republicans. So you can't really say their strategy (which I don't like) is working off of this one fact. Though I'm not sure how swayed conservative independents are by Kasich and Colin Powell.
Republican leaning independents and not literally Republicans.
Six of one, half dozen of the other.
They arent courting Republican rank-and-file voters so much as Republican donors and elites
2021: "Well we have to admit we were wrong. Our policies didn't attract new voters because we didn't appeal to them. Though we secured 2/3 of the federal government, we should go even more to the right!" - DNC
But my lib friend said all his republican family is voting for biden
