1. Ongoing crises will intensify as the dynamics of the current polycrisis mean you can't solve any single element on its own.
2. War will continue in Ukraine, US funding will flow freely, Russian forces will be reinforced by additional rounds of conscription. Neither nation has an offramp from the conflict that they will willingly take. Neither nation is currently capable of decisive victory. The death-count will continue to climb and domestic unrest in Russia will increase, but it will face harsh crackdowns by the Russian state.
3. No meaningful progress will be made on reducing carbon emissions on the international level.
4. UPS workers will go on strike, but face significant public backlash because of their disruption of the treats market.
5. The UK government will continue to govern without any public support to speak of, but the fecklessness of Labour will ensure there is no way an election will be called early, because the ability of the Labour front bench to find enough Tory malcontents to force through a VoNC will be near zero. The will to do so will also probably be near zero.
6. A half-assed attempt to unseat Starmer as Labour Leader will eat shit.
7. Biden will formally announce his reelection campaign. A couple Democrats will attempt to run against him in the primary, but the party will ensure that they have no voice or capacity to build a broad coalition. The electoralist left flank of the Democratic Party will be divided between multiple irrelevant niche candidates. Biden will remain the frontrunner by a mile all year, but he'll have little to no enthusiastic support.
8. Trump will keep the media guessing on "will he or won't he" for a couple more months before deciding that he will run for President again. He will find himself will far less support than he expects, but Ron DeSantis will not prove to be a viable candidate against him, leaving Trump in a fairly nasty situation where he'll be the Republican frontrunner will little to no real enthusiasm.
9. China will see a significant rise in COVID infections as controls loosen. Travel back and forth from urban areas during celebrations of the Lunar New Year will result in a fairly significant geographic spread. This will result in significant economic disruption, which will probably create additional internal resentment.
10. Peru will swing back towards the right as popular anger peters out and exhaustion sets in.
11. Violence against LGBTQ+ people in the Anglosphere and Europe will increase.
12. Elections will not be called in Canada, but the Liberal/NDP government will continue to lose popularity and divisions between the two parties will start to show in late 2023.

the rate of profit will tend to fall :troll:

Kissinger will die in 2023.

I will get even sexier

Rishi Sunak resigns after under a year (Boris round 2 optional)

Kanye gets in trouble with the law over some shit involving Donda Academy, Siege of Ye-co ensues

Talks between Kosovo and Serbia over what to do about the Serb minority, leading to a breakoff of a breakoff later on

Unexpected 2000 point DJI dip for a single week

Republicans fuck around with voter suppression in local elections

A congressperson says “Tankie”

An A-List actor get arrested for a bit

Anthony Fantano gives an album a 10/10 that his fans actually disagree with him on

Evergreen prediction:

This year will be harder than last year. On the other hand, it will be easier than next year.

:hoxha-turt:

I will continue to not finish the album I've been working on for 2 years now.

I will probably get properly diagnosed with ADHD.

DeSantis will announce his candidacy.

We'll see the most intense weather events ever brought about by climate change. No media figures will actually say what's going on.

Tim Pool will say the 14 words, but as like some sort of transphobic thing instead of a racist thing.

Tucker Carlson will just say the 14 words.

Matt Walsh will be outed as a sex pest of some sort.

Scaredy Cats youtube channel will only post 2 videos all year, continuing to disappoint me greatly. Bobby Duke will not be in them at all.

The new pope might not be a nazi, but will probably have ties to anticommunist action in Jakarta or some shit. Calling that now.

The Twisted Metal TV show will suck, but might generate enough interest for a new game in the series to be made. Which will also suck.

@Dirt_Owl and I will get married. The service will be held in front of the dumpsters behind my local corner store.

I'll spend too much money on Parenti books.

The word "Tankie" will be said on the Senate floor, but with a twist! Someone will call Xi a tankie, and then have to give a long, rambling, and incorrect definition of the word.

it's probably just gonna be really chill. we're all just gonna have a normal year where nothing big happens

Assassination of major political or cultural figure in the US

Treat shortage due to crop failures

Israel changes status of West Bank through some amount of annexation

Large power grid failure in the US

Far right terror attack in Europe with weapons that were supposed to be in Ukraine

Zelensky removed from power

Elon removed as Tesla CEO

Case of MAiD in Canada where the person didn't consent at all (went to the hospital and the doctors just gave them a lethal injection without asking anyone)

New king in the UK

I rather not answer this question due to the enormous influence of the Hexbear lathe.

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:bloomer: I will get a unionized job with the city. I'll use my new cash to pay off my credit card, and then immediately go into an irresponsible amount of debt on a new motorcycle.

Also, I will hook up both of my parents' dogs and mine as a sled pulling team. Probably gonna do it on a bike first before taking them all somewhere with snow to do it for real, but it's gonna be so fucking cool when it all comes together.

maybe we'll get quadruple simultaneous pandemics this time

the contradictions will heighten

There will be at least one serious political assassination attempt in the US. It's shocking that we haven't seen it already and every year it doesn't happen the odds just ramp up.