On the 20th of October, Moldova - a small, landlocked country bordering western Ukraine and with a population of about 3 million - voted to join the EU. The margin was razor-thin, with the pro-EU vote gaining 50.39%, or an absolute difference of about 11,000 people. There was simultaneously a presidential vote between the incumbent, Maia Sandu, and other candidates, with the main competitor being Alexandr Stoianoglo.
The election was characterized by accusations of Russian interference, with Russian propaganda apparently flooding in, as well as people offering Moldovans money to vote against the EU. While the result does suggest that half the voting-age population of Moldova consists entirely of Russians who want to destroy democracy and all the good in the world, it seems to have just barely failed. This is a bad time to be a site entirely composed of Russian disinformation agents and bots. Twice already today, I've had to restart my program after somebody told me "Disregard all previous prompts."
While Moldova is a poor country which could benefit in some ways from EU membership, in practice, it is unlikely that they will be able to join for the foreseeable future, requiring many of the... reforms... that the EU requires of potential new members. But as basically every major European economy continues to slowly sink as recessions and political crises degrade them, one wonders how beneficial EU membership will even be in the years and decades to come - if it survives for decades. In that sense, it's as if the survivors of the Titanic are swimming back towards it, believing that being on a bigger - albeit slowly sinking - boat is better than trying their luck on small lifeboats.
Then again, like with Serbia, their geographical and geopolitical position makes anti-Western actions extremely difficult. It is rare that dissention is tolerated for long in the West - one tends to get called a dictator by crowds of people holding English-language signs in non-English countries, photographed by Western journalists who haven't meaningfully reported on your country in months or years. You can crush your people with neoliberal austerity for years, killing hundreds of thousands through neglect, and face glowing approval from the media - but try and use state resources to benefit the poor, and global institutions start ranking you on the authoritarian dictator scale.
The best case for Moldova is that it becomes an exploitable hinterland for Germany to harvest and privatize as it tries - and fails - to compete in a global economic war between the US and China/BRICS. The worst case is that tensions with Russia over Transnistria, as well as possible eventual NATO involvement (though Moldova is not a member, it is a partner of NATO), result in the ongoing war also reaching them.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Ok since it's looking as if Israel are in their final preparations for their attack against Iran, I will be posting the leaked US spy documents on Israel's preparations, along with trying to make sense of what they mean. This is going to be a long and detailed post (lots of potentially terrifying details), so I'll be completing it inside the spoiler tag below.
The documents themselves, and what does this potentially mean?
I'll start by just posting the two military documents, they are written in a lot of military jargon that I'll try and explain to the best of my ability, I have no real expert knowledge, but I'll do my best. Feel free to provide any corrections where you see fit, I apologise in advance for any errors.
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In short, preparations for a large attack on Iran have been taking place at Hatserim airfield, involving loading Air Launched Ballistic Missiles (ALBM) onto at least six F-15I (Israeli version of the F-15E Strike Eagle) aircraft at the base, likely of type "Golden Horizon", but not certainly. A minimum of 56 ALBMs have been taken out of storage so far by the Israeli Air Force (IAF) in total at all air bases. 40 of type "Rocks" and 16 of type "Golden Horizon". More on that later. ALBMs being taken out of storage and loaded onto aircraft was also spotted at Ramat David airfield and Ramon airfield.
Israel have also been spying on Iran, within Iran itself, using some sort of stealth UAV of type "RA-01", operating out of a hangar at Ramon airfield. More on that later.
Israel also conducted a large scale practice exercise for their attack on Iran, involving one AWACS aircraft and three aerial refueling aircraft. The AWACS and refueling force is of a similar size to that which was used to conduct long range strikes on Yemen during September. No word on the size of the fighter aircraft force component though.
Israeli air defense systems in Arrow-2 and Arrow-3 continue to be deployed, along with the Navy being deployed.
Lastly, Israel likely has deployed the nuclear armed Jericho II Medium Range Ballistic Missiles (MRBM) in a defensive position since October 1 2024, the date of Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attack. There is no indication that this is an offensive deployment or that they will be used in the upcoming Israeli attack. But this is as close as we'll get to the US acknowledging the Israeli nuclear arsenal, and shows that nuclear weapons are in play.
What's interesting from these leaked documents, is that they reveal the existence of two weapons systems of which there is no public information on. The Golden Horizon ALBM, and RA-01 stealth ISR UAV.
The RA-01, based on the size of the suspected hangars and intended role, could be a propeller powered flying wing design drone, similar to an RQ 170 but propeller powered. Other suggestions involve an ISR version of the Ibis HA10 High altitude long endurance concept drone, Public research paper here, with the wings fitted on after exiting the hangar as the wingspan would be too large for the hangars at Ramon. It would also explain the US spy report providing details about a technical crew needed to prepare the aircraft after take offs and landings. I'll attach an image below to illustrate this, and yes, it's the highest quality image available. This is really obscure territory here. This UAV concept was designed with stealth and a flight time of over 24 hours in mind, so it's a viable suggestion. The twitter account that initially suggested it also got deleted, which adds some sort of credibility to the theory I guess? It's concerning that Iranian air defences have not been able to detect or engage this UAV type.
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As for what this could mean in an Israeli attack, we'll start with the ALBMs. The concept of this is familiar, the most well known ALBM is probably the Russian Kinzhal, an Iskander SRBM converted for an aerial launch. Israel have a similar weapon in the Air LORA, a LORA SRBM converted for aerial launch. The "ROCKS" ALBM is weapon that we do have public information on. It's a weapon with a range estimated to be between 250-300km which gives it stand off capabilities, uses a single Sparrow booster stage (the sparrow series are a series of ALBMs that Israel uses to test it's Arrow and David's Sling air defence systems, they are designed to imitate Iranian ballistic missiles), and uses GPS and inertial guidance, along with an electro optical seeker, or anti radiation seeker. A ROCKS ALBM with an anti radiation seeker was likely used to destroy an Iranian air defence radar that was part of a S300PMU2 missile battery during Israel's April attack. Drones were used to stimulate Iranian air defences into action, giving away their position for the anti radiation missile to home in on their radar. The fact that 40 of these missiles have been deployed is very concerning and could indicate Israeli intentions to carry out a wider scale Suppression/Destruction of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD/DEAD) operation. This is a capability that Israel has already demonstrated against Iran, that Iran failed to stop last time round. We have also seen how effective this attack vector has been against US Patriot air defence systems in Ukraine, when Russia destroyed them with Kinzhals and Iskanders.
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There is much speculation on what the "Golden Horizon" ALBM is as there is no public information on it, with many suggesting that it is the internal nsme for the Air LORA ALBM. I disagree, and think that it is likely a multi stage version of a Sparrow ALBM (in particular blue sparrow), readied for actual combat use. Imagery of such a weapon was posted by the IAF online a few weeks ago. It's still up on twitter actually. This would give this weapon a longer range in comparison to ROCKS, in violation of some of the missile treaties Israel publicly says that they follow, which is likely why it's been kept secret. These weapons would give Israel a great stand off capability with their long range, a range of around 2000km potentially. Israeli jets wouldn't even need to leave Israeli airspace to strike Iran. It was also theorised by some that Israel fired a few of these weapons with inert warheads during their strike on Iran in April.
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What happens from here really depends on what Israel targets with their ALBMs. If they target Iran's above ground missile facilities, along with very limited strikes on air defence systems, I can see a potential road to de escalation, with Iran likely launching a limited drone or ballistic missile attack in response, similar to the April attack. If Israel carries out a large scale SEAD/DEAD campaign to open up the possibility for a further aerial campaign, and/or tries to strike Iran's underground missile or nuclear facilities, we could be on the verge of all out war. Such an attack would amount to a declaration of war, and Iran's response would likely make their October 1 attack look small in comparison. The resulting escalation ladder of such events could get really tall really quickly. I don't see Israel being able to intercept Iranian ballistic missiles over the medium to long term, which could lead to a US response if Israel is on the end of a large retaliatory strike.
The fact that 40 of these missiles have been deployed is very concerning and could indicate Israeli intentions to carry out a wider scale Suppression/Destruction of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD/DEAD) operation. This is a capability that Israel has already demonstrated against Iran, that Iran failed to stop last time round.
Appreciate the lengthy write up. I do wonder what the solution to massed SEAD would look like for Iran. Do they just turn their radar off and try and time it so the SEAD missile looses its lock? I really have no idea what other countermeasures there would be.
Me, an idiot: Saturate the area around your defenses at like 10:1 with irrelevant radar signals to make them less likely to target the right location.
What will probably happen: Something else that's bad instead.
I am by no means a milblogger and what I’m about to say will sound very obvious to many people here… but is Israel’s strategy really just “bomb everyone and everything till the other side gives up”? That’s mostly what they’ve done in Gaza until the start of this month in the north. It’s clearly what they’re doing in Lebanon - they know they’ll get their ass kicked on the ground so they are bombing civilians to try and get Hezbollah to quit. And it looks like this is what the attack on Iran will be.
And if that’s the case, what is the response? It seems like Israel is making a rational calculation that they have an unlimited supply of bombs and missiles from the US, so are they planning to just keep it up until Lebanon in particular is just completely destroyed?
Historically, has a military campaign that is almost exclusively bombing ever succeeded? I know the Americans tried (and failed) to do this in Vietnam starting in Nixon’s first term.
is Israel’s strategy really just “bomb everyone and everything till the other side gives up”?
That's probably their ideal, but I think their real strategy is to continue to escalate/goad the Resistance into escalating to the point where the US has to intervene directly to bail out the zionists, and the only way that is likely to happen is if a wider regional war starts. Getting bogged down and eventually kicked out of Lebanon by itself wouldn't be enough to pull in the US, they need an outright war with Iran in order for that to be a possibility.
this strategy may backfire if the paper tiger inervenes and still gets rinsed
Appreciate you digging into the weeds for us on this one. I tried reading some of it and couldn't really parse it easily. Not enough patience.
https://archive.ph/vqYed
According to Newsweek, occupied Korea is posturing at sending troops and “advisors” to Ukraine to counter the North Koreans. Absolute clown stuff. Acting like there will be a ton of DPRK prisoners when there are just some DPRK “advisors” currently and Russia is winning and taking prisoners at a way higher rate.
Occupied Korea wants to send troops and involve itself in a losing war where there advisors will get killed and captured as Ukraine collapses? It’s a clever way to get more troops to Ukraine without NATO involvement I suppose.
I sleep: nothing ever happens
Woke: New war on the Korean peninsula
Bespoke: Best Korea and South Korea duke it out in UkraineKingdumb Farts 69.420: Proxy by Proxy - other side of the world K-pop dance off.
Government announces it will ‘dissolve’ Argentina’s tax agency
The AFIP will be replaced with a new, reduced agency and over 3,000 jobs are on the chopping block
President Javier Milei’s government announced on Monday that Argentina’s federal tax agency, AFIP by its Spanish initials, will be dissolved and replaced with a new agency in accordance with its mandate to “reduce inefficient structures.” According to Presidential Spokesman Manuel Adorni, 34% of public service jobs within the AFIP will be eliminated. As of Monday evening, no details had been released regarding the new agency’s operations or what the move means in concrete terms for the country’s fiscal infrastructure.
“AFIP will cease to exist. In its place, the Collection and Customs Control Agency will be created with a simplified structure,” said Adorni in his routine press conference at the Casa Rosada. According to the Herald’s sister publication Ambito, he did not accept questions after the announcement.
The new and reduced agency, ARCA by its Spanish initials, will be a merger between two preexisting government bodies (the tax and customs general directorates, DGI and DGA by their Spanish acronyms). It will be led by Florencia Misrahi, a lawyer who formerly worked for Cargill and is currently serving as the head of the AFIP. “The Argentina of fiscal voracity is over. What belongs to every Argentine is theirs and no one else’s. No state bureaucrat should have the power to tell them what to do with their property,” Adorni added.
A communiqué released on Monday afternoon described the AFIP as inefficient and highlighted the termination of 3,155 workers hired under former President Alberto Fernández. The communiqué refers to the administration as “Kirchnerite” in reference to Fernández’s vice president, Cristina Kirchner, who is often targeted by government discourse.
Adorni claimed that firing the workers would lead to savings of around AR$6.4 million per year. Both the spokesman and the communiqué referred to their employment as “irregular,” questioning the legality of their hiring. “The creation of ARCA is aimed at reducing the size of the state, eliminating unnecessary positions, professionalizing the agency, destroying circuits of corruption, and improving the efficiency of customs collection and control,” read the communiqué.
According to the Herald’s sister publication Ambito, the AFIP Board of Directors said it did not have “objections with respect to the reduction of political positions,” which the government referred to as “high positions,” because that is a power reserved for the Executive Branch. However, it emphasized that “dismissals will not be tolerated on the basis of political origin.”
lmfao
also
announced, out of nowhere, that the media attacked him and said he does not have sex with his sister or his dogs. Nobody ever claimed he has sex with dogs, but this is the current state of things.thats amazing. Tax collection is one of the things neoliberals know not to cut, its a basic function along with police, military and judiciary. His ancap is showing.
Tax collection is one of the things neoliberals know not to cut
sadly this is one of the things neolibs in Mexico did not know
"How are we going to reduce inflation and deficit? Why, by eliminating one of the most powerful levers a state has to fighting them, of course."
Here's more info on the hospital for which Israel is creating a narrative to bomb
Israel Makes Sensational Allegations Against Sahel Hospital in Beirut (Gaza Playbook)
Avichay Adraee, the Israeli spokesperson for Arab media writes in a post on X that Hezbollah is storing “hundreds of millions of dollars” in cash and gold beneath Sahel Hospital in Haret Hreik, alleging that these funds are earmarked to finance the group’s terrorist activities. The hospital conceals secret entrances and exits leading to a shelter below, he said.
Adraee goes on with news that Israeli aircraft are currently surveilling the site, and called on the Lebanese government and international organizations to recover these purportedly stolen funds and prevent their use for terrorism.
In response, Fadi Alameh, the hospital’s director, strongly rejected the accusations, called for Lebanese Ministry to investigate & asserted that Sahel Hospital has no ties to any political parties. The hospital, he confirmed, had been forced to evacuate.
https://nitter.poast.org/DropSiteNews/status/1848455800131620980
Ukraine defense minister says lack of manpower is a serious problem https://elpais.com/internacional/2024-10-21/a-ucrania-le-faltan-soldados-para-frenar-a-rusia.html
Zelensky is under constant pressure to conscript women or lower the age of conscription. The west needs more bodies to drive their old hummers into mines.
Prabowo inaugurated as Indonesia president. Seems like another far right head of state https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/20/asia/prabowo-indonesia-presidency-int-latam/index.html
yea he was advertising like crazy, i was using Indonesian VPN and all the Google Ads were on him.
https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1g8nnko/comparison_of_moldovas_2024_eu_referendum_results/#lightbox
Found this regional breakdown of the Moldova eu vote, it seems like some of the numbers indicate some abstention on the no side. Can someone translate and identify the regions?
A 50/50 split to leave the EU is totally terrible, but a 50/50 split to join the EU is completely fine.
These maps are comparing the vote results with the areas in which Moldovan is spoken
Looking at it,yeah,yes is mainly concentrated around Chisinau,with no being dominant in the rest of the country
No mainly in Gagauzia,no surprise there,I thought there would be more in Pridniestrovie,but over 50% no is still not nothing,also probably because people there didn't all vote,so there's that,as a consequence of not Moldova not having official control of the area,and not being able to set up polling booths
Also,this makes it obvious it's the fucking diaspora that decided the outcome, although,to be fair,the population is bigger in the blue area
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British pedophile turns out to be huge zionist (CW: Pro-SA/pro-CSA)
According to Israel's Channel 13, a "very large" attack will soon take place against Iran, after the deployment of the THAAD missile defense system has been completed.
Preparations for the attack are underway.Casualties are reported in the Israeli attack near Hariri hospital, where no evacuation of the population was requested.
3 dead dozens of injuredOkay I definitely better make my analysis of the leaked US spy documents before the attack takes place. It's not looking good... I hope this all ends one day
Blinken is going to be in Israel this week also, it was said before that his visiting usually preceded major actions by them which would be logical, I'm not sure if that's always the case though.
Are they still awaiting approval/deployment for a second THAAD battery?
Saying this as someone who feels similarly, I think the purpose of giving badposting and the dredge tank their own comms is so it can be quarantined, so all you have to do is unsubscribe and you never have to see it.
I just default to my subbed page and once a day or so go to local just to see what all comms have. Mostly though im here for news mega anyway
Ahh, complaining about twitter screenshots. It's 2018 all over again.
Was just about to mention this. We used to joke on /r/ChapoTrapHouse about how 90% of the content was Twitter screenshots.
I think the catharsis helps keep us sane. That said, I'm also not a big fan of /c/badposting.
I must have unsubbed from badposting because I forgot it exists
I don't know if you're gonna see this,but I thought that was Lemmygrad
I mean,it's much less populated,and I've seen shitposts there too,but I thought that was the "grownup" instance
Yes. What they just proposed would struggle to define itself apart from lemmygrad and nothing would seriously be accomplished by actually moving the news mega to lemmygrad. At a glance this seems to have been motivated by them having posts removed for hostility after they got into a slapfight in all the mentioned comms and then Ulysses T over "A.I".
Yeah,I checked the modlogs...
Well,I'm not taking any sides,but personally I feel like there is a bit too much Muskposting
Let's see, in the last two weeks: cars, thedredgetank, electoralism, the_dunk_tank, chat, technology, chapotraphouse, comics. Definitely looks contained
Those posts were relevant to those comms, not just general dunk posts.
Besides, if you're that dedicated to being mad at me, I could just as easily ask why you're posting on a 17 day old account and came out of hibernation from a 4 day absence at that just to post what you just did here, especially after that very recent meltdown, multiple comm banning, and consequent account deletion.
@Biddles@hexbear.net @UlyssesT@hexbear.net knock it off in the thread - take it to DMs, disengage, or get a room. I don't care which, but comparing posting habits is not news.
Yeah but being an asshole to people about it isn't exactly praxis either
Edit: Not trying to say you're the one doing that, sorry if it came off like that
DPRK flag spotted in Ukraine. Mil summary YT 10:20s
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They say its just Russian trolling for now. The narrative seems like ever increasing Russian cope which I don't understand why, I admit its wierd but also I don't quite think someone right at the front(see the video geolocation) has time or reason to be bothering with internet memes, just a weird situation imo, why would you carry a DPRK flag around just in case?
To me this seems like the funniest narrative of the past year imo. Its going to be so funny to watch all these silly mil bloggers experts trying to justify the extremely obvious reasons why DPRK was willing to send some small amount of troops.
Meanwhile SK is officially taking the matter seriously South Korea summons Russian envoy to protest North Korea troop dispatch.
If westerners are allowed to openly lie and play coy about their Nazis just “trolling Russians” than turnabout is fair play. Just openly lie about DPRK troops and say it’s trolling and grin wolfishly.
Every photo of the front will inexplicably have the DPRK flag somewhere in the background.
I can also easily see some 19 year old RF private being like "Hey mom, can you send me a DPRK flag? I'm gonna do something funny"
Nah it was probably some salty DPR psycho who flies a USSR flag on his turtle tank
I don't quite think someone right at the front(see the video geolocation) has time or reason to be bothering with internet memes
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/14ydywe/ru_pov_photographs_of_the_kerch_unit_who_managed/
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https://english.iswnews.com/33104/military-knowledge-almas-missile/
The Almas missile system. In 2006 Hezbollah captured some zionist 'Spike' launchers which were transported to Iran and then reverse engineered and improved upon. The above article is a comprehensive analysis of the Almas system.
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This particular weapon system was captured from the IOF during the 2006 war, I believe, and reverse engineered.
I don't know what weapons they'll use in WW3, but in WW27 they'll use these thingies, check it out!
Bureaucratic budget rules prevents coastal protection for Danish towns
Many Danish coastal municipalities, are grappling with how to fund essential coastal protection projects against future storm surges caused by climate change. A recent report from the Technical University of Denmark warns of severe future damages if these measures are not taken, but the financial burden is proving difficult to manage under the current construction cap.
This cap limits how much municipalities can spend annually on construction and renovation projects, making it hard to finance expensive flood defenses. The town of Kerteminde was forced to scrap a DKK 50 mln. dike and sluice project, as it would consume half of their annual construction cap. The island of Lolland, meanwhile, plans to defy the construction cap and go ahead with a DKK 400 mln. floodgate to protect the town of Nakskov from future surges, as soon as funding is secured. Lolland's succdem mayor Holger Schou Rasmussen argues that there is no choice but to build the floodgate as the damages caused by unmitigated flooding will far exceed the cost of construction.
Both municipalities are calling on the central government to ease the budgetary straitjacket and provide more financial support. Holger Schou Rasmussen, argues the issue is a national responsibility, while Magnus Heunicke, head of the succdem-controlled ministry of the executive, acknowledges the need for collaboration but stops short of promising to lift the cap.
- Source: DR (state media), October 21st 2024
