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tbh, sounds like wishful thinking. they're collapsing, not gone. before all this, Germany and France were clearly doing a China pivot, and still might. and while unequal trade with the periphery is less and less likely as industrialisation and Chinese development continues, it's not like the west still can't import Saudi, Nigerian, even fucking Iranian if they have to, fossil fuels. and it's also not like they have none, just a large portion comes from Russia.

finance still means a lot, money still means a lot. and capitalism has gone through way worse crises only to come out the other end pretty much the same, if not more ghoulish. if anything, the line got even more detached from the real economy in 2020 and 2021 in particular, showing the continued strength of these institutions based almost entirely on just making shit up. and these shortages are going to fall on consumers far more than industry, even the neo lib ghouls do a little Keynesianism as a treat when things get bad.

I think the collapse is coming. but the is the very very beginning of a decades, and maybe century long, collapse. this is not a thing that will see the collapse of the Eurozone in 5 years. there are weeks when years happen, and then there are years you're hoping any day now the weeks when years happens comes around, just as Communists have for centuries